Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Karviná		Stal Rzeszów

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.90	3.50
	1.86	3.70	3.20
	1.76	4.05	3.47
	1.81	4.06	3.46
	1.73	3.85	3.4
	1.77	4.09	3.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.08)	3.94 ↓ (4.19)	3.45 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
50.9%

Draw
22.9%

Stal Rzeszów
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

22.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

23.3%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karviná's performance.

Stal Rzeszów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Rzeszów might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Rzeszów could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Karviná - Stal Rzeszów Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 6. Breite R. 11. Cicovsky A. 31. Conde O. 25. Fleisman J. 8. Kronus A. 21. Markovic A. 18. Misek S. 10. Samko D. 7. Selnar J. 32. Yakubu S.	1. Vanivskyi S. (G) 16. Brzek W. 3. Krasovskiy V. 77. Kukulka K. 29. Listkowski M. 11. Masiak K. 10. Naifi A. 76. Salamon S. 21. Thiede M. 40. Wisniowski E. 44. Zieja D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
38', 🟨,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Karviná has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Stal Rzeszów is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Karviná holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Karviná - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech Division 2
18.09.26	Karviná - Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž	3:2 ✺
11.09.26	Fotbal Třinec - Karviná	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	Karviná - Kladno	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Příbram - Karviná	2:1 ✺
Czech Cup
26.08.26	Kozlovice - Karviná	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLWLL
- Stal Rzeszów
Polish Division 1
19.09.26	Miedź Legnica - Stal Rzeszów	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Odra Opole - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw	2:1 ✺
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Stal Rzeszów - Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała	3:0 ✺
Polish Division 1
28.08.26	Unia Skierniewice - Stal Rzeszów	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34 WWWWW

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