Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 1

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Opocensky V. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1


	Karviná		Dukla Prague

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	3.75	Watch
	1.87	3.7	3.7
	1.9	3.5	3.7	Watch
	1.94	3.55	4.09
	1.85	3.4	3.8
	1.91	3.61	3.87	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.11)	3.54 ↑ (3.39)	3.82 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
49.3%

Draw
26.3%

Dukla Prague
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

29.4%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Dukla Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dukla Prague than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Karviná - Dukla Prague Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Dukla Prague (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dukla Prague (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 7. Vallo K. 4. Traore A. 37. Krcik D. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 6. Bohac S. 9. Labik A. 17. Sigut S. 10. Samko D. 27. Singhateh E. 13. Vecheta F.	1. Matrevics R. (G) 18. Hasek D. 23. Svozil J. 37. Pourzitidis M. 2. Isife S. 7. Peterka J. (C) 14. Tijani S. 3. Sehovic Z. 19. Cermak M. 11. Milla K. 15. Sebrle S.
Substitutes
14. Ayaosi E. 21. Buzek A. 31. Conde O. 15. Endl L. 26. Ezeh L. 12. Gning A. 1. Neuman V. (G) 8. Planka D. 23. Schovanec O. (G) 77. Storman R.	12. Ambler M. 13. Bacinsky C. 17. Fokam J. 8. Gaszczyk P. 6. Holis R. 21. Hrubes J. 4. Hunal E. 31. Jagrik A. (G) 16. Jedlicka T. 32. Matousek F. 20. Zitny M.
Coaches
Hysky M.	Holoubek D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Peterka J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Singhateh E. ⚽, Labik A. (A),
27', Singhateh E. 🟨,
40', Sehovic Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sebrle S. ↓, Fokam J. ↑,
50', Isife S. 🟨,
59', Sehovic Z. ↓, Ambler M. ↑,
59', Isife S. ↓, Jedlicka T. ↑,
59', Tijani S. ↓, Zitny M. ↑,
64', Vecheta F. ↓, Gning A. ↑,
68', Singhateh E. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
68', Vallo K. ↓, Buzek A. ↑,
73', 2 - 0, Sigut S. ⚽,
79', Cermak M. ↓, Hrubes J. ↑,
86', Samko D. ↓, Storman R. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3.

Karviná is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dukla Prague is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Karviná is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Karviná: Camara S. (Red Card) Planka D. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Dukla Prague: Cernak M. (Health problems) Kozma D. (Injury) Mesanovic M. (Tendon Injury) Mikus R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Karviná: Buzek A. (Injury) Krcik D. (Injury)

There are questionable in Dukla Prague: Gaszczyk P. (Inactive)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Karviná - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 44.34%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Karviná - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Žilina - Karviná	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Karviná - Trenčín	3:1 ✺
25.06.25	Karviná - Prostějov	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Spartak Trnava - Karviná	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW
- Dukla Prague
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Ústí nad Labem - Dukla Prague	0:1 ✺
05.07.25	Mladá Boleslav - Dukla Prague	2:4 ✺
02.07.25	Dukla Prague - Vysočina Jihlava	4:2 ✺
28.06.25	Dukla Prague - Táborsko	4:1 ✺
25.06.25	Dukla Prague - Opava	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
12.03.25	Dukla Prague - Karviná	0:0
01.09.24	Karviná - Dukla Prague	0:0
Czech Division 2
13.05.23	Dukla Prague - Karviná	0:3
22.10.22	Karviná - Dukla Prague	5:0
Czech 1 Liga
14.05.19	Karviná - Dukla Prague	3:0
15.03.19	Dukla Prague - Karviná	2:1
07.10.18	Karviná - Dukla Prague	0:2

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