Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Stary D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1


	Karviná		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.63	Watch
	2.45	3.35	2.62
	2.54	3.55	2.74
	6.45	3.93	1.52	Watch
	2.43	3.58	2.77	Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.2)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	2.41 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karviná
31.1%

Draw
28.1%

Jablonec
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

26.9%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

26.8%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Karviná - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Jablonec will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jablonec: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 24. Chytry J. 37. Krcik D. (C) 4. Traore A. 9. Labik A. 77. Storman R. 21. Buzek A. 14. Ayaosi E. 10. Samko D. 27. Singhateh E. 12. Gning A.	1. Hanus J. (G) 14. Soucek D. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 57. Novak F. 18. Cedidla M. 25. Nebyla S. 13. Sedlacek R. 7. Chanturishvili V. 8. Zorvan F. 44. Jawo L. 19. Chramosta J.
Substitutes
31. Conde O. 26. Ezeh L. 29. Fiala J. 25. Fleisman J. 11. Kacor P. 8. Kristan J. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 1. Neuman V. (G) 28. Valosek V.	77. Alegue A. 90. Innocenti N. 17. Lavrincik S. 42. Malensek M. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 84. Pantalon R. 9. Penxa L. 24. Puskac D. 16. Rusek A. 5. Stepanek D. 10. Suchan J.
Coaches
Hysky M.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Cedidla M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Jawo L. ↓, Puskac D. ↑,
60', Chramosta J. ↓, Alegue A. ↑,
65', Samko D. ↓, Fiala J. ↑,
72', Zorvan F. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Rusek A. ⚽,
79', Singhateh E. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
79', Chytry J. ↓, Fleisman J. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Krcik D. (Pen),
86', Tekijaski N. ↓, Innocenti N. ↑,
86', Sedlacek R. ↓, Stepanek D. ↑,
90+5', Puskac D. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.

In recent matches, Karviná has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jablonec is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Karviná: Camara S. (Red Card) Sigut S. (Injury) Vallo K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Karviná: Bohac S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Jablonec: Polidar M. (Health problems)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
13.09.25	Slavia Prague - Karviná	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Karviná - Teplice	4:1 ✺
Czech Cup
27.08.25	Bospor Bohumín - Karviná	1:6 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
23.08.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Karviná	2:1 ✺
17.08.25	Karviná - Bohemians 1905	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLL
- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
14.09.25	Jablonec - Pardubice	3:2 ✺
30.08.25	Slovácko - Jablonec	0:2 ✺
Czech Cup
26.08.25	Admira Prague - Jablonec	0:3 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
23.08.25	Teplice - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Jablonec - Slavia Prague	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
23.02.25	Jablonec - Karviná	5:0
21.09.24	Karviná - Jablonec	1:0
04.05.24	Jablonec - Karviná	3:2
16.12.23	Jablonec - Karviná	0:0
19.08.23	Karviná - Jablonec	1:1
01.05.22	Jablonec - Karviná	2:0
13.02.22	Karviná - Jablonec	1:1

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