Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 5

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Town Stadium Karvina (Karvina)

Referee: Volek S. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo


	Karviná		Bohemians 1905

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3	Watch
	2	3.6	3.3
	2.1	3.45	3.15	Watch
	2.22	3.55	3.19
	1.43	4.58	6.64	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3
	2.21	3.47	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.31)	3.62 ↑ (3.43)	3.65 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Karviná
47.2%

Draw
26.5%

Bohemians 1905
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

27%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karviná has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Karviná's performance.

Bohemians 1905 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bohemians 1905 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Karviná that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bohemians 1905 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bohemians 1905 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Karviná - Bohemians 1905 Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 18 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karviná: 76.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Karviná (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Karviná will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Karviná (votes: 11 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Lapes J. (G) 4. Traore A. 49. Camara S. 37. Krcik D. 25. Fleisman J. (C) 6. Bohac S. 8. Planka D. 9. Labik A. 21. Buzek A. 31. Conde O. 12. Gning A.	12. Reichl M. (G) 27. Kadlec A. 28. Hulka L. (C) 22. Vondra J. 99. Sinyavskiy V. 41. Okeke N. 6. Sakala B. 20. Drchal V. 47. Cermak A. 10. Matousek J. 9. Yusuf
Substitutes
14. Ayaosi E. 24. Chytry J. 26. Ezeh L. 11. Kacor P. 3. Lawali Y. 34. Mrozek O. (G) 10. Samko D. 23. Schovanec O. (G) 77. Storman R. 13. Vecheta F.	70. Cerny S. 23. Fruhwald T. (G) 8. Hruby R. 7. Hybs M. 3. Kadlec M. 25. Kareem P. 19. Kovarik J. 35. Kukucka O. 24. Plestil D. 77. Ristovski M. 71. Siman J. (G)
Coaches
Hysky M.	Vesely J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Gning A. ⚽, Buzek A. (A),
21', Okeke N. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Matousek J. ⚽, Kadlec A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Yusuf 🟨,
61', Matousek J. ↓, Ristovski M. ↑,
64', Conde O. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
64', Planka D. ↓, Samko D. ↑,
64', Traore A. ↓, Ayaosi E. ↑,
67', Kadlec A. 🟨,
78', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
79', Cermak A. ↓, Hruby R. ↑,
80', Yusuf ↓, Plestil D. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Drchal V. ⚽, Sinyavskiy V. (A),
85', Buzek A. ↓, Vecheta F. ↑,
90+3', Reichl M. 🟨,
90+5', Kadlec A. ↓, Kareem P. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 13 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Bohemians has had a series of home games.

Karviná might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Karviná: Singhateh E. (Red Card)

There will not play in Bohemians: Sinyavskiy V. (Red Card) Smrz V. (Doping)

There are questionable in Karviná: Sigut S. (Health problems) Vallo K. (Health problems)

There are questionable in Bohemians: Sakala B. (Injury) Zeman V. (Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:27. (average 0.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MFK Karviná
Czech 1 Liga
10.08.25	Baník Ostrava - Karviná	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Karviná - Zlín	0:1 ✺
26.07.25	Hradec Králové - Karviná	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Karviná - Dukla Prague	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Karviná - Górnik Zabrze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WLWWL
- Bohemians 1905
Czech 1 Liga
10.08.25	Bohemians 1905 - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
02.08.25	Teplice - Bohemians 1905	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Bohemians 1905 - Slavia Prague	0:2 ✺
19.07.25	Bohemians 1905 - Baník Ostrava	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.25	Bohemians 1905 - Ružomberok	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
14.12.24	Bohemians 1905 - Karviná	3:3
17.08.24	Karviná - Bohemians 1905	1:2
16.05.24	Bohemians 1905 - Karviná	1:3
20.04.24	Karviná - Bohemians 1905	1:1
11.11.23	Bohemians 1905 - Karviná	1:0
14.05.22	Bohemians 1905 - Karviná	4:0
03.04.22	Karviná - Bohemians 1905	1:1

Upcoming Matches