Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 27

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Kastamonuspor		24 Erzincanspor

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.62
	2.02	3.14	3.67	Watch
	2.38	3	2.63
	2.42	3.13	2.64
	2.12	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.14)	3.17 ↓ (3.34)	2.89 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastamonuspor
40.3%

Draw
28.4%

24 Erzincanspor
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

27.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

27.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastamonuspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

24 Erzincanspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (-1%)

Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 0, Ari K. ⚽, Talay H. I. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastamonuspor won 1.

In recent matches, Kastamonuspor has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

24 Erzincanspor is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

24 Erzincanspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kastamonuspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kastamonuspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kastamonuspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Kastamonuspor	5	2	0	3	4:13	-9	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League White Group
15.02.26	Iskenderunspor - Kastamonuspor	2:0 ✺
08.02.26	Kastamonuspor - Erbaaspor	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	İnegölspor - Kastamonuspor	2:2 ✺
28.01.26	Kastamonuspor - Kepez Belediyesi	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Bucaspor 1928 - Kastamonuspor	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTTW
- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League White Group
14.02.26	24 Erzincanspor - Şanlıurfaspor	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Karaman Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	0:5 ✺
01.02.26	24 Erzincanspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Batman Petrolspor - 24 Erzincanspor	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	24 Erzincanspor - Altınordu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
12.10.25	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:0
13.04.25	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:2
30.11.24	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
21.01.24	24 Erzincanspor - Kastamonuspor	2:1
03.09.23	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:0
Turkish Cup
30.10.19	Kastamonuspor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:2 penalties

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