Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Kastamonuspor		Karacabey Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.05	3.3
	2.38	3.05	3.25
	2.22	3	3.31	Watch
	2	3	3.4
	2.07	3.02	3.48
	2.14	3	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 (2.14)	3.02 ↓ (3.18)	3.32 ↑ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kastamonuspor
42.5%

Draw
30.1%

Karacabey Belediyespor
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.3%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kastamonuspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Karacabey Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karacabey Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Cengiz S. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Karaoglu O. 🟥,
62', 1 - 1, Ayaroglu H. ⚽,
77', 2 - 1, Ozturk M. ⚽, Pehlivan M. E. (A),

Preview

Kastamonuspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Karacabey Bld has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kastamonuspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Karacabey Bld has had a series of home games.

Kastamonuspor will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kastamonuspor won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kastamonuspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League White Group
30.11.25	Batman Petrolspor - Kastamonuspor	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Kastamonuspor - Altınordu	7:1 ✺
08.11.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Kastamonuspor	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kastamonuspor - Ankaragücü	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Elazığspor - Kastamonuspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LWWLW
- Karacabey Belediyespor
Turkish Cup
03.12.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kocaelispor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Second League White Group
30.11.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Batman Petrolspor	2:4 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Karacabey Belediyespor - Malatya Yeşilyurt	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
19.04.23	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:2
13.11.22	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	4:2
27.01.21	Karacabey Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	1:1
21.09.20	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1

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