Match Info

Uganda Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Mbale Municipal Stadium (Mbale)


	Kataka		Kampala City Council

	1	X	2
	4.83	3.34	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.6)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataka
18.9%

Draw
27.3%

Kampala City Council
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.5%

28.1%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Kampala City Council has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataka than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kampala City Council than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nsubuga R. (G) 13. Balyejusa I. 28. Biafulo M. 6. Isaac O. 30. Khayemba U. 3. Luwemba B. 2. Maloba A. 26. Namaisi S. (C) 20. Olinga M. 9. Sentamu A. 14. Wanendeya J.	1. Mugolofa M. (G) 20. Anyama E. 56. Ijara B. 11. Joao Gabriel 21. Kizito G. 18. Lutalo U. 25. Mubezi J. 2. Mujuzi M. 16. Obenchan F. (C) 22. Sserunjogi J. 27. Usama A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Joao Gabriel ⚽,
67', 1 - 1, Olinga M. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.

In recent matches, Kataka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kampala City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Kataka has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kampala City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kataka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataka FC
Ugandan Cup
04.05.25	Kampala City Council - Kataka	3:0 ✺
Uganda Big League
27.04.25	Kiyinda Boys - Kataka	4:2 ✺
Ugandan Cup
22.04.25	Police - Kataka	0:1 penalties ✺
Uganda Big League
19.04.25	Kataka - Kigezi HomeBoyz	2:1 ✺
13.04.25	Kaaro Karungi - Kataka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWL
- Kampala City Council FC
Ugandan Cup
04.05.25	Kampala City Council - Kataka	3:0 ✺
Ugandan Super League
29.04.25	Kampala City Council - Police	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Kampala City Council - Mbarara City	1:0 ✺
Ugandan Cup
19.04.25	Kaaro Karungi - Kampala City Council	1:2 ✺
Ugandan Super League
16.04.25	Uganda Revenue Authority SC - Kampala City Council	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Ugandan Cup
04.05.25	Kampala City Council - Kataka	3:0

Kataka - Kampala City Council: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide