Match Info

NIGERIA: NPFL - Round 15

Date: 1 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Muhammadu Dikko Stadium (Katsina)

Where to Watch on TV:


Nigeria	NPFL Live


	Katsina United		Sunshine Stars

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.3	10
	1.42	3.33	8.94
	1.41	3.32	11.4
	1.43	3.3	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.65)	3.31 ↑ (3.06)	10.09 ↑ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katsina United
63.7%

Draw
27.3%

Sunshine Stars
9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

29.7%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

28.7%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katsina United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katsina United's performance.

Sunshine Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sunshine Stars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katsina United than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katsina United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sunshine Stars than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sunshine Stars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katsina United - Sunshine Stars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kolimba A. (G) 5. Abdullahi M. 18. Abdultaofik A. 7. Achare M. 25. Ashadi D. 4. Barau U. 8. Ibrahim N. 39. Ihejiofor C. 3. Nasiru S. 6. Okoh M. 14. Okoko E.	23. Ishola A. (G) 35. Adebayo A. 8. Awosanmi P. 15. Chukwude S. 24. Iwundu C. 30. Mayi S. 32. Nnaemeka A. 2. Ogechukwu O. 33. Olowoshile Y. 20. Olufemi O. 29. Sodiq T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Abdultaofik A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Katsina United won 1.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Katsina United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Katsina United is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Katsina United won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:11 (average 0.9:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Katsina United won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katsina United
Nigerian Premier League
27.11.24	Abia Warriors - Katsina United	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Katsina United - Remo Stars	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Bayelsa United - Katsina United	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Katsina United - Ikorodu City	1:2 ✺
21.10.24	Shooting Stars - Katsina United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWTLL
- Sunshine Stars
Nigerian Premier League
27.11.24	Sunshine Stars - Rivers United	1:1 ✺
10.11.24	Heartland - Sunshine Stars	1:0 ✺
03.11.24	Sunshine Stars - Bendel Insurance	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Plateau United - Sunshine Stars	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Sunshine Stars - Nasarawa United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Nigerian Premier League
13.03.24	Sunshine Stars - Katsina United	1:0
28.05.22	Sunshine Stars - Katsina United	2:0
21.07.21	Sunshine Stars - Katsina United	0:0
07.03.21	Katsina United - Sunshine Stars	0:0
18.03.20	Sunshine Stars - Katsina United	1:2
24.11.19	Katsina United - Sunshine Stars	2:0
16.05.19	Katsina United - Sunshine Stars	3:1

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