Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Krom (Katwijk)


	Katwijk		Noordwijk

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.4	5.5
	1.41	4.5	5.8
	1.43	4.76	5.22
	1.46	4.81	5.72
	1.42	4.33	6.11
	1.41	4.5	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.41)	4.55 ↑ (4.33)	5.69 ↓ (6.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katwijk
64%

Draw
20%

Noordwijk
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

19.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Noordwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noordwijk than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Katwijk - Noordwijk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. van Bladeren S. (G) 4. Maatsen D. 3. Ravensbergen J. 15. Sinteur B. 21. Bouwense L. 7. Doesburg R. 6. van der Meer R. 22. Brenna M. 11. Hardijk M. 10. Kunst D. 9. Brandsma S.	46. Antonioli R. (G) 5. Strooker J. 20. Neto 40. Rietveld D. 17. Groot K. 26. Bosma S. (C) 15. da Fonseca G. 10. Reemnet R. 9. van Staveren N. 14. Bakour M. 16. El Kharbachi M.
Substitutes
25. Janmaat F. 5. Kok P. 2. Odakura K. 8. Schulte R. 19. Tahiri M. 14. van der Veldt K. 1. van Leeuwen J. (G)	19. Bakker D. 8. Franken B. 6. Nhoca Barbosa J. 25. Roep A. 1. Schol B. (G) 11. Tjin-Asjoe V. 31. Wendt E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Reemnet R. ⚽, Bakour M. (A),
31', 1 - 1, Brenna M. ⚽, Kunst D. (A),
43', Bakour M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Doesburg R. ⚽,
56', Bakour M. ↓, Wendt E. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Hardijk M. ⚽, Kunst D. (A),
62', 3 - 2, Wendt E. ⚽,
62', Hardijk M. ↓, Tahiri M. ↑,
63', Neto 🟨,
70', 🟨,
71', El Kharbachi M. ↓, Tjin-Asjoe V. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Katwijk won 2.

Recent matches Katwijk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Noordwijk is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Noordwijk have a series of home games.

In this match Katwijk is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Katwijk won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.5:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Katwijk won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
12.10.24	Quick Boys - Katwijk	1:1 ✺
05.10.24	Katwijk - Scheveningen	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Katwijk - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	2:4 ✺
14.09.24	Spakenburg - Katwijk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWLT
- Noordwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
12.10.24	Noordwijk - ACV	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Noordwijk	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Noordwijk - HHC Hardenberg	1:3 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
24.09.24	Noordwijk - HSV Hoek	2:0 ✺
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.09.24	Noordwijk - GVVV	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
27.01.24	Noordwijk - Katwijk	0:1
02.09.23	Katwijk - Noordwijk	2:2
21.01.23	Katwijk - Noordwijk	2:1
27.08.22	Noordwijk - Katwijk	1:1
23.04.22	Noordwijk - Katwijk	2:0
30.10.21	Katwijk - Noordwijk	2:0
19.09.20	Noordwijk - Katwijk	1:1

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