Match Info

NETHERLANDS: Tweede Divisie - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Sportpark De Krom (Katwijk)


	Katwijk		Scheveningen

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	7.25
	1.27	5.4	7.6
	1.26	5.71	8.36
	1.29	5.67	8.78	Watch
	1.27	5.25	8.25
	1.27	5.4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.7)	5.45 ↑ (4.09)	7.97 ↑ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katwijk
71.8%

Draw
16.8%

Scheveningen
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

22.8%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

22.5%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katwijk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katwijk's performance.

Scheveningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scheveningen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katwijk than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katwijk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scheveningen than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scheveningen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katwijk - Scheveningen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. van Bladeren S. (G) 15. Sinteur B. 21. Bouwense L. 5. Kok P. 3. Ravensbergen J. 6. van der Meer R. 4. Maatsen D. 7. Doesburg R. 10. Kunst D. 19. Tahiri M. 9. Brandsma S.	1. van der Maaten S. (G) 5. Koorndijk R. 4. Beugelsdijk T. 15. Konijn M. 2. Asmelash H. 6. de Vlugt M. (C) 7. Brute J. 23. Rog B. 11. Elvilia G. 9. de Niet M. 17. Bouchnafa Y.
Substitutes
22. Brenna M. 11. Hardijk M. 25. Janmaat F. 17. Mercera A. 2. Odakura K. 14. van der Veldt K. 1. van Leeuwen J. (G)	25. Ates E. 30. Buijs M. (G) 14. de Jong J. 18. Dogan H. 12. El Karicha A. 24. van der Graaff S. 8. van Kleef L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Konijn M. ↓, Ates E. ↑,
30', Sinteur B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bouwense L. ↓, Brenna M. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Kunst D. ⚽,
65', 2 - 0, Kunst D. ⚽, Maatsen D. (A),
65', Bouchnafa Y. ↓, van Kleef L. ↑,
65', Brute J. ↓, de Jong J. ↑,
73', Doesburg R. ↓, Hardijk M. ↑,
77', de Niet M. ↓, Dogan H. ↑,
85', van der Meer R. ↓, Odakura K. ↑,
85', Brandsma S. ↓, Mercera A. ↑,
89', Kunst D. ↓, Janmaat F. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Katwijk won 3.

Recent matches Katwijk is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Scheveningen has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Katwijk is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Katwijk won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:11 (average 2.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Katwijk won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1.6:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VV Katwijk
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.09.24	Rijnsburgse Boys - Katwijk	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Katwijk - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	2:4 ✺
14.09.24	Spakenburg - Katwijk	0:0 ✺
07.09.24	Katwijk - BVV Barendrecht	4:1 ✺
31.08.24	Koninklijke HFC - Katwijk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WLTWT
- SVV Scheveningen
Dutch Tweede Divisie
28.09.24	Scheveningen - ACV	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Excelsior Maassluis - Scheveningen	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Scheveningen - HHC Hardenberg	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	RKAV Volendam - Scheveningen	5:2 ✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
03.09.24	VV DOVO - Scheveningen	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
30.03.24	Katwijk - Scheveningen	0:2
28.10.23	Scheveningen - Katwijk	0:4
28.01.23	Scheveningen - Katwijk	1:3
03.09.22	Katwijk - Scheveningen	1:0
29.03.22	Scheveningen - Katwijk	2:2
18.09.21	Katwijk - Scheveningen	3:1
18.01.20	Katwijk - Scheveningen	3:2

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