Match Info

I Lyga - Round 29

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 8h 49m 📅 Remind Me


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.05	3.50	1.98
	2.55	3.60	2.30
	2.63	3.75	2.24	Watch
	2.50	3.50	2.18
	2.40	3.80	2.40
	2.6	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (3.45)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	2.23 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
34.4%

Draw
25.1%

Neptūnas
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.3%

24.9%

48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

23.5%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kauno Žalgiris 2's performance.

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neptūnas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neptūnas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 0.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Neptūnas is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:20 (averaging 1.6:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kauno Žalgiris 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:6 goals (averaging 2.8:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Neptunas	28	14	2	12	33:35	-2	44
13	Kauno Zalgiris 2	28	9	1	18	27:45	-18	28

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 26.34%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
25.10.26	Dainava Alytus - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:1 ✺
16.10.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Transinvest 2	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	FA Šiauliai B - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:3 ✺
02.10.26	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris 2	5:0 ✺
19.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Garliava	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLTLW
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
24.10.26	Neptūnas - Ekranas	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Neptūnas - Hegelmann Litauen 2	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Neptūnas - Jonava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.06.26	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1
24.10.25	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1
17.06.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	1:3
18.08.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	2:2
22.03.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1
04.11.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	5:1
23.06.23	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	5:0

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas