Match Info

I Lyga - Round 13

Date: 17 June 2025, Tuesday

Location: Žalgirio stadionas (Vilnius)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Kauno Žalgiris 2		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	4.33	1.51
				Watch
	6.52	4.8	1.34
				Watch
	6.33	5.75	1.37	Watch
	4.06	4.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.33 ↑ (4.06)	4.77 ↑ (4.2)	1.46 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kauno Žalgiris 2
17.3%

Draw
19.4%

Neptūnas
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

21.6%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

20.9%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kauno Žalgiris 2's form might have worsened.

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neptūnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Kauno Žalgiris 2 (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Miksiunas J. (G) 50. Buslys G. 49. Jakubauskas M. 61. Jankauskas J. 45. Lipcius A. 46. Milius T. 83. Nainys P. (C) 41. Rybelis A. 53. Slivinskas A. 67. Tunc M. 30. Vosylius N.	1. Agalarov A. (G) 33. Ankudinovas A. 3. Badmus O. 17. Dumalakas M. 74. Herman S. 8. Hevlych T. 9. Rusys M. 24. Shults K. 23. Skurdelis A. (C) 19. Trakselis A. 11. Zubauskas D.
Substitutes
95. Bovhyra D. 58. Brazys V. 57. Matekonis R. 47. Pocius V. 48. Stelmokas T. 1. Ukelis M. (G) 74. Uzkurnys A. 56. Valiulis B. 65. Vizinis J.	95. Elivelton 15. Jermolajev E. 29. Jurgelevicius D. 89. Komza D. (G) 34. Kurakinas A. 27. Laukzemis K. 69. Omokhoa D. 21. Saimon 7. Smulkys E. 39. Stonys V. 42. Vaitkus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Zubauskas D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Badmus O. 🟨,
57', 0 - 2, Jurgelevicius D. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
89', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 2.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Neptūnas is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Recently, Kauno Žalgiris 2 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Neptūnas is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Kauno Žalgiris 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 3.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
12.06.25	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1 ✺
01.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Transinvest - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:0 ✺
16.05.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLL
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
13.06.25	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:0 ✺
01.06.25	Ekranas - Neptūnas	1:2 ✺
23.05.25	Neptūnas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
17.05.25	Nevėžis - Neptūnas	0:4 ✺
09.05.25	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.08.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	2:2
22.03.24	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1
04.11.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	5:1
23.06.23	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	5:0
02.10.21	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Neptūnas	3:0
20.06.21	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0

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