Match Info

Super Lig - Round 3

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kayserispor		Galatasaray

	1	X	2
	5.5	5	1.38	Watch
	7	5.25	1.36
	6.96	5.18	1.38
	6.5	5.49	1.42
	6.07	5.02	1.43	Watch
	7	5	1.35
	6.36	5.49	1.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.48 ↓ (8.86)	5.2 ↓ (6.4)	1.39 ↑ (1.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
14.5%

Draw
18%

Galatasaray
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.6%

14.7%

74.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Galatasaray has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Galatasaray might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Kayserispor - Galatasaray Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH -1 - Galatasaray (2.14) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Galatasaray (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Galatasaray (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Galatasaray (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Galatasaray will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Galatasaray will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Galatasaray (votes: 11 - 91.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bayazit B. (G) 11. Sazdagi G. (C) 37. Jung G. 4. Denswil S. 23. Carole L. 24. Tokoz D. 28. Civelek R. 10. Mendes J. 8. Benes L. 30. Opoku A. 7. Cardoso M.	19. Guvenc G. (G) 7. Sallai R. 6. Sanchez D. 42. Bardakci A. (C) 4. Jakobs I. 34. Torreira L. 8. Gabriel Sara 10. Sane L. 11. Akgun Y. 17. Elmali E. 45. Osimhen V.
Substitutes
79. Ackah Y. 3. Burak A. 26. Gezek B. A. 17. Kapacak B. 6. Karimi A. 77. Korkmaz N. 20. Mane C. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T. 22. Tuci I.	23. Ayhan K. 3. Baltaci M. 9. Icardi M. 24. Jelert E. 88. Karatas K. 18. Kutlu B. 21. Kutucu A. 91. Unyay A. 50. Yilmaz J. (G) 22. Zaniolo N.
Coaches
Gisdol M.	Buruk O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Elmali E. ⚽,
45', Cardoso M. 🟨,
45', Gabriel Sara 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', 0 - 2, Elmali E. ⚽, Sane L. (A),
60', Opoku A. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
60', Tokoz D. ↓, Ackah Y. ↑,
69', Benes L. ↓, Karimi A. ↑,
69', Civelek R. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
72', Jakobs I. ↓, Ayhan K. ↑,
72', Gabriel Sara ↓, Icardi M. ↑,
76', Sazdagi G. 🟨,
77', Guvenc G. 🟨,
79', Sallai R. ↓, Baltaci M. ↑,
79', Akgun Y. ↓, Zaniolo N. ↑,
85', Torreira L. ↓, Kutlu B. ↑,
86', 0 - 3, Osimhen V. ⚽, Zaniolo N. (A),
90+3', 0 - 4, Sane L. ⚽, Kutlu B. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 0.

Galatasaray is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kayserispor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Galatasaray has had a series of home games.

In this match, Galatasaray is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Galatasaray: Cuesta C. (Inactive) Nelsson V. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:51. (average 1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:20. (average 1.1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
17.08.25	İstanbul Başakşehir - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Samsunspor - Kayserispor	2:1 ✺
25.05.25	Kayserispor - Bodrumspor	1:1 ✺
18.05.25	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	3:0 ✺
12.05.25	Kayserispor - Antalyaspor	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLTLW
- Galatasaray
Turkish Super League
15.08.25	Galatasaray - Fatih Karagümrükspor	3:0 ✺
08.08.25	Gaziantep - Galatasaray	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Galatasaray - Lazio	2:2 ✺
26.07.25	Galatasaray - Strasbourg	3:1 ✺
23.07.25	Galatasaray - Cagliari	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
18.05.25	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	3:0
22.12.24	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	1:5
15.01.24	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	2:1
12.08.23	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	0:0
14.04.23	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	6:0
15.10.22	Kayserispor - Galatasaray	2:1
12.02.22	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	1:1

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