Match Info
Super Lig - Round 26Date: 15 March 2026, SundayLocation: Samsun 19 Mayis Stadyumu (Samsun)Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Samsunspor |
|
Kayserispor |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Samsunspor
46.8% | Draw
28.6% | Kayserispor
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samsunspor's form might have worsened.Kayserispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samsunspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-2.9%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Samsunspor will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 25.1% – 83.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.5 - Kayserispor (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kayserispor (2.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Kayserispor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
71.  Egribayat I. (G)
18. Yavru Z. (C)
24.  Borevkovic T.
37.  Satka L.
17.  Tomasson L.
5. Yuksel C.
10.  Ntcham O.
7.  Tavsan E.
20. Kayan Y.
21.  Holse C.
9.  Marius
| 25. Bayazit B. (G)
30.  Brenet J.
6. Guler S.
4.  Denswil S.
28. Civelek R.
18.  Makarov D.
8. Benes L.
33. Soyalp F.
7.  Cardoso M. (C)
9. Onugkha G.
99. Sariarslan T.
|
| Substitutes |
23. Albak E.
70.  Coulibaly T.
15.  Diabbate A. B.
28. Gonul S.
11. Kilinc E.
1. Kocuk O. (G)
29.  Makoumbou A.
2.  Mendes J.
48. Toruz E. B. (G)
| 23. Carole L.
63. Chalov F.
17. Kapacak B.
2.  Katongo J.
20.  Mane C.
11. Mather S.
10. Mendes J.
1. Piri O. (G)
61. Saglam G.
22.  Tuci I.
|
| Coaches |
 Fink T.
|  Moe E.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Ntcham O. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
- 31', 1 - 0, Makoumbou A. ⚽, Tavsan E. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Makarov D. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
- 46', Sariarslan T. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 46', 1 - 1, Borevkovic T. (Own goal),
- 64', Onugkha G. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
- 73', Yavru Z. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 73', Kayan Y. ↓, Kilinc E. ↑,
- 73', Tavsan E. ↓, Coulibaly T. ↑,
- 74', Tomasson L. 🟨,
- 77', Benes L. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Tomasson L. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 4.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Samsunspor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Samsunspor is a strong favorite.There will not play in Samsunspor: Assoumou J.
(Injury)
Cetin B.
(Knee Injury)
Cift Y. E.
(Yellow Cards)
Sousa A.
(Ankle Injury)
Van Drongelen R.
(Yellow Cards)There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A.
(Suspended)
Celtik Y.
(Knee Injury)
Cihan K.
(Inactive)
Hosseini M.
(Injury)
Tokoz D.
(Red Card)There are questionable in Kayserispor: Carole L.
(Injury)In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Samsunspor won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Samsunspor won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
banner
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7 | Samsunspor | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43:45 | -2 | 48 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 18 | Kayserispor ✔ | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 25:61 | -36 | 27 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Turkish Super League | | | 19.10.25 | Kayserispor - Samsunspor | 1:3 | | 01.06.25 | Samsunspor - Kayserispor | 2:1 | | 11.01.25 | Kayserispor - Samsunspor | 0:1 | | 25.01.24 | Samsunspor - Kayserispor | 2:0 | | 27.08.23 | Kayserispor - Samsunspor | 2:1 | | Turkish First League | | | 21.02.15 | Samsunspor - Kayserispor | 2:0 | | 28.09.14 | Kayserispor - Samsunspor | 1:1 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Watch
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
100% up to €200 + 10% daily cashback
