Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League B - Round 1

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	11:00	ESPN 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	00:00	Optus Sport
Austria	16:00	DAZN Austria
Azerbaijan	18:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	16:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	16:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	11:00	Claro TV+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	17:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	10:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	10:00	ESPN 2
China	22:00	iQIYI
Colombia	09:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	16:00	SportKlub 5
Cyprus	17:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	16:00	Sport 1
Denmark	16:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	17:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1
France	16:00	L'Equipe Live Foot
Georgia	18:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	16:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	17:00	Nova Sports Prime
Iceland	14:00	Viaplay
India	19:30	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2
Israel	17:00	Sport 1
Japan	23:00	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	20:00	Qazsport
Kosovo	16:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Sport 1
Mexico	08:00	Blue To Go Video Everywhere, Sky HD, Sky Sport
Montenegro	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	16:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	02:00	Sky Sport 7, TVWan Sports 2
North Central America	—	Csport Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	16:00	Arena Premium 1, MaxTV GO
Norway	16:00	TV2, TV2 Play
Poland	16:00	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	15:00	Sport TV2
Puerto Rico	10:00	Fox Sports 2
Romania	17:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, PrimaPlay, Prima Sport 1
Russia	17:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	16:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	16:00	SportKlub 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Sweden	16:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	16:00	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	17:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	15:00	Sport 24 International
Usa	10:00	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports 2, Foxsports.com, FuboTV
Vietnam	21:00	TV 360
International	14:00	Disney+, JioTV app, Prima+ app


	Kazakhstan		Norway

	1	X	2
	9.5	5.75	1.29
	10.5	5.75	1.28
	12	5.5	1.3
	10.62	5.81	1.29
	10.55	5.68	1.28	Watch
	7.5	4.6	1.36
	12.3	5.94	1.3	Watch
	12	5.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.62 ↑ (5.93)	5.57 ↑ (4.25)	1.3 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Sports 2

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Current Win Probability

Kazakhstan
9%

Draw
17.2%

Norway
73.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.1%

22.4%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kazakhstan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kazakhstan's form might have worsened.

Norway has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Norway's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17.9%	3.6%	78.6%

Kazakhstan - Norway Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Kazakhstan will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Norway will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 62.1% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shatskiy I. (G) Aktobe 4. Bystrov M. FC Astana 18. Kasym A. Aktobe 22. Marochkin A. FC Astana 3. Alip N. Zenit St Petersburg 11. Vorogovskiy Y. FC Astana 7. Orazov R. Silkeborg 8. Tagybergen A. (C) Ordabasy 19. Zaynutdinov B. Besiktas 23. Chesnokov I. Tobol 17. Aymbetov A. Adanademirspor	1. Nyland O. (G) Sevilla 14. Ryerson J. Dortmund 4. Ostigard L. Rennes 21. Hanche-Olsen A. Mainz 5. Wolfe D. M. AZ Alkmaar 10. Odegaard M. (C) Arsenal 6. Berg P. Bodo/Glimt 22. Myhre F. Brann 7. Sorloth A. Atl. Madrid 9. Haaland E. Manchester City 20. Nusa A. RB Leipzig
Substitutes
6. Abiken A. Ordabasy 13. Asrankulov R. Tobol 20. Astanov E. FC Astana 21. Beysebekov A. FC Astana 5. Gabyshev M. Yelimay Semey 9. Islamkhan B. Ordabasy 14. Karimov R. FC Astana 2. Maliy S. Ordabasy 1. Pokatilov S. (G) Tobol 10. Samorodov M. Akhmat Grozny 16. Tapalov E. Tobol 15. Zarutskiy A. (G) FC Astana	8. Berge S. Fulham 17. Bjorkan F. Bodo/Glimt 19. Donnum A. Toulouse 12. Dyngeland M. (G) Brann 23. Egeli S. W. Nordsjaelland 3. Gundersen J. Bodo/Glimt 15. Langas S. Viking 11. Larsen J. S. Wolves 16. Pedersen M. Torino 13. Selvik E. (G) Haugesund 2. Thorsby M. Genoa 18. Thorstvedt K. Sassuolo
Coaches
Cherchesov S.	Solbakken S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Zaynutdinov B. 🟨,
42', Kasym A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Orazov R. ↓, Abiken A. ↑,
59', Aymbetov A. ↓, Samorodov M. ↑,
63', Zaynutdinov B. ↓, Karimov R. ↑,
70', Berg P. ↓, Berge S. ↑,
70', Myhre F. ↓, Larsen J. S. ↑,
70', Sorloth A. ↓, Donnum A. ↑,
72', Abiken A. 🟨,
75', Chesnokov I. 🟨,
78', Donnum A. 🟨,
80', Chesnokov I. ↓, Astanov E. ↑,
84', Nusa A. ↓, Egeli S. W. ↑,

Preview

In this match Norway is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kazakhstan
Friendly
11.06.24	Azerbaijan - Kazakhstan	3:2 ✺
07.06.24	Armenia - Kazakhstan	2:1 ✺
26.03.24	Luxembourg - Kazakhstan	2:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
21.03.24	Greece - Kazakhstan	5:0 ✺
Friendly
14.03.24	Kazakhstan - Turkmenistan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLL?
- Norway
Friendly
08.06.24	Denmark - Norway	3:1 ✺
05.06.24	Norway - Kosovo	3:0 ✺
26.03.24	Norway - Slovakia	1:1 ✺
22.03.24	Norway - Czech Republic	1:2 ✺
UEFA Euro
19.11.23	Scotland - Norway	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTLT

Kazakhstan - Norway