Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 15

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Kaan Numanoglu T. (Tur)


	Keçiörengücü		Samsunspor

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.4
	2.6	3.2	2.5
	2.43	3.15	2.6
	2.6	3.15	2.45
	2.88	3.18	2.62
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.64	3.28	2.44	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.41)	3.17 ↓ (3.22)	2.49 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
34.6%

Draw
28.8%

Samsunspor
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

29.6%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	44.4%	33.3%

Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 0.

Recent matches Keçiörengücü is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Samsunspor is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Keçiörengücü could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Keçiörengücü won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
19.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Denizlispor	2:0 ✺
14.11.22	Göztepe - Keçiörengücü	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.11.22	Keçiörengücü - Bulvarspor	4:2 ✺
Turkish First League
30.10.22	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:3 ✺
22.10.22	Keçiörengücü - Pendikspor	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWL
- Samsunspor
Turkish First League
13.11.22	Tuzlaspor - Samsunspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
09.11.22	Samsunspor - Adanaspor	4:0 ✺
Turkish First League
06.11.22	Samsunspor - Göztepe	1:0 ✺
29.10.22	Pendikspor - Samsunspor	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Samsunspor - Boluspor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
05.02.22	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1
12.09.21	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	2:0
28.02.21	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1
24.10.20	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	4:2
Turkish Second League White Group
03.04.19	Keçiörengücü - Samsunspor	1:1
11.11.18	Samsunspor - Keçiörengücü	1:2

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