Match Info

TURKEY: 1. LIG - ROUND 8

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara)

Referee: Dursun Y. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Turkey	beIN Sports 1


	Keçiörengücü		Tuzlaspor

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	6	Watch
	1.46	4.5	5.5
	1.52	4.5	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.56	6.04
	1.44	4.2	5.8
	1.47	4.4	5.75
	1.47	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.67)	4.31 ↑ (3.85)	5.71 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
62.4%

Draw
21.4%

Tuzlaspor
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23.2%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keçiörengücü's performance.

Tuzlaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuzlaspor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Ucar M. (G) 26. Ozdemir O. 89. Resmen E. 15. Sengul A. 3. Cinan M. 14. Camara M. 6. Develi E. 8. Cetin S. 11. Bardhi J. 7. Ariyibi G. 10. Dembele P. M.	26. Kaplan F. (G) 27. Asatekin S. 5. Ay S. 4. Hasanalizada B. 96. Giritlioglu C. 12. Ba M. 8. Yahaya A. 10. Akarslan M. 44. Bangoura S. 17. Yazar A. 9. Segun J. A.
Substitutes
23. Aktas M. 1. Avci O. (G) 9. Inan M. 33. Innocent C. 99. Kilinc K. 19. Mara U. 69. Mayi K. 36. Nahirci O. 41. Sarman H. A. 35. Yildirim B.	33. Akkan G. 77. Bas S. 19. Ciftci H. 22. Cinar Z. 42. Coskun M. 67. Demiryurek G. (G) 72. Keklik H. 11. Kose A. 6. Tas M. 28. Togui W.
Coaches
Gulpinar S.	Safak E.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 2.

Keçiörengücü is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tuzlaspor is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tuzlaspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Keçiörengücü is absolute favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Keçiörengücü won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Keçiörengücü won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
01.10.23	Kocaelispor - Keçiörengücü	3:0 ✺
23.09.23	Keçiörengücü - Giresunspor	3:1 ✺
16.09.23	Keçiörengücü - Şanlıurfaspor	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Boluspor - Keçiörengücü	0:0 ✺
27.08.23	Keçiörengücü - Adanaspor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWTW
- Tuzlaspor
Turkish First League
30.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Şanlıurfaspor	1:1 ✺
22.09.23	Boluspor - Tuzlaspor	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Tuzlaspor - Adanaspor	2:1 ✺
02.09.23	Manisa FK - Tuzlaspor	4:0 ✺
26.08.23	Tuzlaspor - Eyüpspor	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
02.04.23	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:1
30.10.22	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:3
26.02.22	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	1:0
02.10.21	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0
17.04.21	Keçiörengücü - Tuzlaspor	0:1
13.12.20	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0
Turkish Second League Red Group
18.02.18	Tuzlaspor - Keçiörengücü	1:0

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