Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP BANK LIGA - ROUND 24

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Széktói Stadion (Kecskemét)

Referee: Kapraly M. (Hun)


	Kecskemeti		Kisvárda

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.5
	2.1	3.3	3.2
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.17	3.51	3.32
	2.15	3.52	3.38
	2.05	3.25	3.25
	2.11	3.32	3.3
	2.12	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	3.35 ↓ (3.6)	3.31 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kecskemeti
44%

Draw
27.8%

Kisvárda
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25.3%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

25.1%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kecskemeti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kecskemeti's form might have worsened.

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kecskemeti than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kecskemeti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Kecskemeti - Kisvárda Predictions

Users Predictions: Kecskemeti will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Varga B. (G) 57. Iyinbor P. 18. Belenyesi C. 6. Katona L. 9. Majer M. 16. Vago L. (C) 27. Zsoter D. 77. Zeke M. 8. Bano-Szabo B. Z. 55. Lukacs D. 11. Horvath K.	30. Petkovic D. (G) 8. Melnyk B. 6. Otvos B. 3. Jovicic A. 23. Szeles I. A. 7. Camaj D. 14. Cipetic B. 11. Lucas (C) 5. Nikolov B. 97. Spasic M. 27. Mesanovic J.
Substitutes
19. Derekas Z. 1. Fadgyas T. (G) 22. Helmich P. 46. Kersak R. (G) 21. Matheus 23. Meskhi M. 25. Nagy O. 7. Palinkas G. 98. Polyak K. I. 15. Szabo A. 99. Szendrei A. 26. Szucs K.	21. Filipovic A. 40. Ilievski M. 18. Kormendi K. 1. Kovacs M. (G) 42. Lippai T. 9. Makowski R. 20. Navratil J. 44. Stefan R.
Coaches
Szabo I.	Feczko T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kecskemeti won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Kecskemeti have a series of guest games.

Kecskemeti will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kecskemeti won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Kecskemeti won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kecskemeti TE
Hungarian NB I
03.03.24	Ferencvárosi - Kecskemeti	2:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
28.02.24	VLS Veszprém - Kecskemeti	0:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
24.02.24	Zalaegerszegi TE - Kecskemeti	3:1 ✺
17.02.24	Kecskemeti - Ujpest	1:0 ✺
11.02.24	Paksi SE - Kecskemeti	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLWL
- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB I
02.03.24	Kisvárda - Zalaegerszegi TE	1:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
28.02.24	Tiszakécske - Kisvárda	0:3 ✺
Hungarian NB I
25.02.24	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	0:1 ✺
17.02.24	Mezőkövesd-Zsóry - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Kisvárda - Puskás Academy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
12.11.23	Kisvárda - Kecskemeti	1:2
07.08.23	Kecskemeti - Kisvárda	3:1
26.05.23	Kecskemeti - Kisvárda	1:0
04.03.23	Kisvárda - Kecskemeti	0:1
14.10.22	Kecskemeti - Kisvárda	3:3
Hungarian Cup
28.10.20	Kecskemeti - Kisvárda	0:1

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