Match Info

NB I. - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Varkert Stadium (Kisvarda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Kisvárda		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.75	2.15
	2.90	3.60	2.10
	2.95	3.70	2.17
	3.08	3.90	2.23
	2.97	3.91	2.12	Watch
	3.00	3.55	2.20
	2.99	3.73	2.14	Watch
	2.80	3.60	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (2.97)	3.72 ↓ (3.85)	2.16 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kisvárda
31.5%

Draw
25.1%

Paksi SE
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

23.9%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

23.3%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Kisvárda - Paksi SE Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Popovych I. (G) 55. Nagy K. 42. Lippai T. 4. Chlumecky M. 10. Soltesz D. 11. Matanovic M. 24. Herc Ch. 80. Mbock H. 77. Esik A. 99. Yordanov T. 14. Melnyk B. (C)	28. Gyetvan M. (G) 6. Gyorfi M. 24. Lenzser B. 15. Belenyesi C. 5. Vecsei B. 14. Silye E. 17. Peto M. 21. Papp K. 8. Balogh B. 10. Haraszti Z. (C) 7. Szalai J.
Substitutes
45. Balogun T. 29. Biro B. 18. Kormendi K. 1. Kovacs M. (G) 27. Mesanovic J. 86. Novothny S. 6. Osztrovka M. 25. Serbecic B. 21. Szikszai H. 70. Szor L. 22. Youga A.	9. Hahn J. 19. Horvath K. 1. Kovacsik A. (G) 4. Lapu A. 20. Simut M. 30. Szabo J. 29. Toth B. 12. Vas G. 16. Wiesner B. 22. Windecker J.
Coaches
Supka A.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Esik A. ↓, Szikszai H. ↑,
46', Gyorfi M. ↓, Simut M. ↑,
46', Peto M. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
68', Herc Ch. ↓, Biro B. ↑,
68', Yordanov T. ↓, Balogun T. ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Lenzser B. ⚽,
72', Silye E. ↓, Lapu A. ↑,
82', Haraszti Z. 🟨,
83', Haraszti Z. ↓, Windecker J. ↑,
85', Matanovic M. ↓, Novothny S. ↑,
86', Nagy K. ↓, Mesanovic J. ↑,
90+2', Papp K. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kisvárda won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Paks may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Paks holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kisvárda has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 32:36 (averaging 1.6:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kisvárda against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 19:15 goals (averaging 1.9:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Paks	8	3	2	3	16:17	-1	11
8	Kisvarda	8	2	3	3	9:10	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Paksi SE - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.09%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB I
05.09.26	MTK Budapest - Kisvárda	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Kisvárda - Győri ETO	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Kisvárda - Debreceni	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Kisvárda	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Kisvárda - Ujpest	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTTLL
- Paksi SE
Hungarian Cup
12.09.26	Kazincbarcikai - Paksi SE	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
05.09.26	Paksi SE - Debreceni	2:4 ✺
29.08.26	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Paksi SE	1:1 ✺
21.08.26	Paksi SE - Ujpest	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Puskás Academy - Paksi SE	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
28.02.26	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	2:1
08.11.25	Paksi SE - Kisvárda	5:3
03.08.25	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	1:5
Hungarian Cup
02.04.25	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	0:1
Hungarian NB I
18.05.24	Paksi SE - Kisvárda	2:1
Hungarian Cup
23.04.24	Paksi SE - Kisvárda	2:1
Hungarian NB I
25.02.24	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	0:1

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