Match Info

MALAYSIA: Super League - Round 17

Date: 18 December 2024, Wednesday

Location: Darul Aman Stadium (Alor Setar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka


	Kedah FA		Penang

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.58	3.8	4.5
	1.62	3.9	4.8	Watch
	1.59	3.91	4.99
	1.63	3.94	5.11	Watch
	1.62	3.75	4.8
	1.59	3.98	4.94
	1.62	3.9	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)	3.88 ↑ (3.68)	4.85 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kedah FA
57.3%

Draw
23.7%

Penang
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

25.1%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.6%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kedah FA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kedah FA's performance.

Penang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kedah FA than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kedah FA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penang than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kedah FA - Penang Predictions

Users Predictions: Kedah FA will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rozaimi S. (G) 35. Abu Bakar H. 19. Afif A. 18. Amirul Afiq W. 23. Cleylton (C) 27. Farhan A. 14. Gordic M. 13. Hakim L. 77. Hisyam A. 11. Nurulloev S. 21. Zulkifi F.	23. Nazrel S. (G) 33. Akif N. 4. Ankrah R. 37. Aris A. 97. Daud I. 14. Kutty S. 17. Rafael Vitor (C) 46. Raop A. 9. Rodrigo Dias 7. Wenzel-Halls D. 15. Zakaria F.
Substitutes
51. Ahmad H. 1. Akmal I. (G) 66. Akmal K. 70. Assifuah E. 15. Ghazali R. 68. Mohd Ridhuwan K. A. S. 29. Rosli A. 81. Saari H. 2. Zahir A.	25. Afifi S. (G) 99. Anuar Ikmalrizal M. A. 8. Azrin K. 80. Iziruddin I. 30. Lapti N. 26. Namathevan A. 10. Neto 28. Reza Zamri A. 6. Rokisham K.
Coaches
Zain N.	Rohaimi W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Nurulloev S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kutty S. ↓, Azrin K. ↑,
46', Raop A. ↓, Lapti N. ↑,
46', Akif N. ↓, Iziruddin I. ↑,
51', Azrin K. 🟨,
55', Hisyam A. ↓, Saari H. ↑,
63', Daud I. ↓, Neto ↑,
66', Gordic M. ↓, Assifuah E. ↑,
72', Abu Bakar H. ↓, Akmal K. ↑,
72', Zulkifi F. ↓, Ghazali R. ↑,
72', Nurulloev S. ↓, Rosli A. ↑,
80', Akmal K. 🟨,
83', Nazrel S. ↓, Afifi S. ↑,
85', Ghazali R. 🟨,
90', Amirul Afiq W. 🟨,
90+1', Aris A. 🟨,
90+5', Wenzel-Halls D. 🟨,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kedah FA won 4.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Penang could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kedah FA is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Kedah FA won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:14 (average 1.8:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Kedah FA won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:8 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kedah FA
Malaysian MFL Challenge Cup
13.12.24	Kedah FA - Kuala Lumpur Rovers	3:0 ✺
Malaysian Super League
04.12.24	Perak FA - Kedah FA	1:1 ✺
Malaysian Cup
01.12.24	Kuala Lumpur City - Kedah FA	4:1 ✺
22.11.24	Kedah FA - Kuala Lumpur City	3:2 ✺
Malaysian Super League
02.11.24	Kedah FA - Selangor FA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWL
- Penang FA
Malaysian MFL Challenge Cup
10.12.24	Penang - Putrajaya Antlers	4:0 ✺
Malaysian Super League
04.12.24	Penang - PDRM FA	2:0 ✺
Malaysian Cup
30.11.24	Kuching City - Penang	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Penang - Kuching City	0:1 ✺
Malaysian Super League
01.11.24	Terengganu FA - Penang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Malaysian FA Cup
05.07.24	Kedah FA - Penang	0:0
28.06.24	Penang - Kedah FA	0:1
Malaysian Super League
22.06.24	Penang - Kedah FA	0:1
Club Friendly
30.04.24	Kedah FA - Penang	3:1
Malaysian Super League
22.08.23	Penang - Kedah FA	1:2
05.04.23	Kedah FA - Penang	1:0
Malaysian FA Cup
08.03.23	Kedah FA - Penang	2:3 penalties

Kedah FA - Penang: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide