Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 7

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)

Referee: Robertsson G. F. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport 4
World	Onefootball


	Keflavík		Stjarnan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.15
	2.78	3.85	2.18	Watch
	2.94	4.12	2.21
	2.97	4.11	2.11	Watch
	2.8	3.7	2.05
	2.94	3.88	2.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.9)	3.9 ↑ (3.69)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
32.6%

Draw
23.8%

Stjarnan
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

25.6%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

25.8%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Keflavík have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Stjarnan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Keflavík - Stjarnan Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Keflavík will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Stjarnan will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stjarnan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. (C) 20. Brigic M. 22. Magnusson A. 23. Ragnarsson E. 8. Baxter B. 5. Aronsson D. 7. Valsson D. 10. Ljubicic S. 11. Al Ghoul M.	12. Olafsson A. (G) 18. Nokkvason G. 5. Kristjansson G. (C) 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 32. Orvarsson O. 7. Eggertsson O. 8. Gunnarsson J. 22. Atlason E. 14. Ingason B. 19. Matthiasson D. 99. Bjarnason A.
Substitutes
9. Al Ghoul H. 30. Basic M. (G) 18. Bjarnason E. 42. Brynjarsson B. L. 25. Elvarsson F. 13. Kralj A. 14. Mudrazija M. 19. Osmani E. 28. Traustason V. A.	1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 36. Bjornsson A. 40. Bjornsson B. 37. Brink H. O. 3. Gardarsson B. 78. Hauksson B. 30. Martin M. A. D. 35. Saemundsson B. 4. Thorisson T.
Coaches
Gudmundsson H.	Elisabetarson J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Johannesson A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Al Ghoul M. ⚽, Baxter B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Atlason E. ↓, Brink H. O. ↑,
46', Eggertsson O. ↓, Hauksson B. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Bjarnason A. ⚽, Gunnarsson J. (A),
56', Gunnarsson J. 🟨,
66', Baxter B. 🟨,
72', Ingason B. ↓, Thorisson T. ↑,
79', Valsson D. ↓, Al Ghoul H. ↑,
79', Johannesson A. ↓, Kralj A. ↑,
82', Bjarnason A. ↓, Gardarsson B. ↑,
89', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Osmani E. ↑,
90+2', Ingimarsson S. T. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 1.

Keflavík has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stjarnan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stjarnan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stjarnan has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:44. (average 1.1:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Akraness - Keflavík	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Keflavík - Vikingur Reykjavik	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	KA Akureyri - Keflavík	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Keflavík - Breiðablik	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Fram - Keflavík	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WLWTL
- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Cup
13.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:1 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
08.05.26	Stjarnan - KR Reykjavík	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Stjarnan - Akraness	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Stjarnan - Valur	2:4 ✺
23.04.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Stjarnan	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
30.01.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	2:1
Icelandic Cup
18.06.25	Stjarnan - Keflavík	4:2
Icelandic League Cup
25.02.25	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:4
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.09.23	Stjarnan - Keflavík	3:0
11.06.23	Keflavík - Stjarnan	1:1
Icelandic Cup
18.05.23	Stjarnan - Keflavík	4:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
04.09.22	Stjarnan - Keflavík	0:2

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