Match Info

Besta deild karla - Relegation Group - Round 5

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Samsung völlurinn (Gardabaer) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Arnarsson S. (Ice)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
International	14:00	OneFootball TV


	Stjarnan		Valur

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.00	4.10	2.85
	1.88	4.00	3.00	Watch
	2.02	4.62	2.92
	1.94	4.62	3.11	Watch
	2.00	4.55	2.80
	1.93	4.20	3.09
	2.04	4.20	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.91)	4.33 ↑ (4.27)	2.95 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stjarnan
47%

Draw
21.4%

Valur
31.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

22.1%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

23.4%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stjarnan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stjarnan than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stjarnan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Stjarnan - Valur Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Stjarnan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Olafsson A. (G) 14. Hauksson B. 19. Leifsson A. 36. Bjornsson A. 32. Orvarsson O. 8. Gunnarsson J. 18. Nokkvason G. (C) 7. Eggertsson O. 21. Turay I. 11. Ingason B. 23. Waren B.	25. Agustsson S. (G) 21. Palsson J. 7. Fridjonsson S. (C) 4. Nakkim M. 3. Gunnarsson H. 24. Veldman M. 29. Veseli S. 5. Arnarsson K. 17. Heimisson L. 19. Gardarson D. 12. Haraldsson T.
Substitutes
25. Alexandersson C. 42. Armannsson E. 1. Bergmann Gylfason D. (G) 37. Bjornsson B. 6. Ingimarsson S. T. 3. Kjeldsen G. 5. Kristjansson G. 38. Porsteinsson E. 94. Vilhjalmsson A.	27. Eiriksson P. 30. Heiddalur G. 16. Kristjansson L. 20. Omarsson O. 95. Petersson T. (G) 1. Schram F. (G) 26. Sigurbjornsson E. 14. Skoglund A. 11. Stole I.
Coaches
Hauksson J.	Brazell C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Nokkvason G. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Ingason B. ⚽, Eggertsson O. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Ingason B. ⚽, Waren B. (A),
37', 4 - 0, Eggertsson O. ⚽, Gunnarsson J. (A),
43', 5 - 0, Gunnarsson J. ⚽, Eggertsson O. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Haraldsson T. 🟨,
71', Veseli S. ↓, Sigurbjornsson E. ↑,
71', Palsson J. ↓, Stole I. ↑,
77', Heimisson L. 🟨,
81', Eggertsson O. ↓, Kristjansson G. ↑,
83', Arnarsson K. ↓, Skoglund A. ↑,
83', Gunnarsson H. ↓, Omarsson O. ↑,
85', Ingason B. ↓, Bjornsson B. ↑,
85', Waren B. ↓, Alexandersson C. ↑,
86', 6 - 0, Nokkvason G. ⚽, Alexandersson C. (A),
89', Hauksson B. ↓, Porsteinsson E. ↑,
89', Orvarsson O. ↓, Armannsson E. ↑,
90+1', Bjornsson A. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjarnan won 2.

Stjarnan is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Valur is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Stjarnan is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stjarnan has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:45 (averaging 1.5:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stjarnan against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.8 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Stjarnan
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.10.26	Thor Akureyri - Stjarnan	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Stjarnan - KA Akureyri	0:3 ✺
20.09.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Stjarnan	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Stjarnan - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWT
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
17.10.26	Valur - KA Akureyri	4:1 ✺
10.10.26	Valur - FH Hafnarfjordur	3:5 ✺
20.09.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Valur	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Valur - Thor Akureyri	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
03.08.26	Valur - Stjarnan	2:3
27.04.26	Stjarnan - Valur	2:4
04.10.25	Valur - Stjarnan	3:2
14.09.25	Valur - Stjarnan	1:2
Icelandic Cup
01.07.25	Valur - Stjarnan	3:1
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
14.06.25	Stjarnan - Valur	3:2
23.09.24	Valur - Stjarnan	2:2

Stjarnan - Valur