The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Keflavík 53.7%
Draw 23.2%
Fylkir 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.3%
24.1%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.9%
23.8%
30.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keflavík's performance.
Fylkir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fylkir might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keflavík that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fylkir than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fylkir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.9%
7.1%
0%
Keflavík - Fylkir Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Keflavík (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Keflavík will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keflavík will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 7 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 20. Brigic M. 25. Elvarsson F. (C) 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 10. Ljubicic S. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. 7. Saevarsson G. 92. Sigfusson K.
1. Helgason O. (G) 11. Aguilera P. 3. Asthorsson A. 2. Eythorsson A. 17. Eythorsson B. 10. Gardarsson B. 7. Gunnarsson T. 20. Oskarsson T. 5. Stefansson O. 8. Sveinsson R. (C) 9. Wohler E.
Substitutes
18. Bjarnason E. 5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 14. Mudrazija M. 19. Osmani E. 23. Ragnarsson E.
77. Arnarsson B. 19. Gislason A. 15. Gudbjornsson A. 12. Helgason H. (G) 34. Saevarsson G. 70. Tyrfingsson G. 14. Vikingsson T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Al Ghoul M. ⚽,
34', Stefansson O. ↓, Arnarsson B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 🟨,
61', Wohler E. ↓, Vikingsson T. ↑,
64', Saevarsson G. ↓, Ragnarsson E. ↑,
76', Gardarsson B. ↓, Tyrfingsson G. ↑,
78', Brigic M. 🟨,
79', Al Ghoul M. ↓, Bjarnason E. ↑,
86', Ljubicic S. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Oskarsson T. ⚽,
89', Olafsson S. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 1.
Recent performances by Keflavík have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Fylkir is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Keflavík may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Keflavík has had a series of home games.
Keflavík could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:36. (average 1.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.2:1.8).