Match Info

Division 1 - Round 4

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)


	Keflavík		Leiknir Reykjavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.25
	1.37	4.55	6	Watch
	1.39	4.84	7.41
	1.43	4.58	6.77
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.44	4.67	6.2	Watch
	1.37	4.55	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.51)	4.48 ↑ (3.99)	6.16 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
64.6%

Draw
20.5%

Leiknir Reykjavík
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

22.7%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Leiknir Reykjavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Keflavík (1.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Keflavík will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keflavík will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Keflavík (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Olafsson S. (G) 11. Al Ghoul M. 18. Bjarnason E. 20. Brigic M. 4. Heras N. 3. Johannesson A. 22. Magnusson A. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Saevarsson G. 92. Sigfusson K.	1. Olafsson O. (G) 11. Agustsson G. 7. Arnason R. 8. Bjornsson S. 25. Brkovic D. 44. Einarsson A. 20. Gunnarsson D. 5. Halldorsson D. (C) 55. Kjartansson A. 6. Sigurdsson J. 45. Vladisavljevic D.
Substitutes
5. Fridriksson S. 12. Gissurarson R. (G) 8. Gudmundsson A. 9. Hakonarson V. 10. Ljubicic S. 14. Mudrazija M. 16. Stefansson G.	3. Bogdanovic B. 19. Hardarson A. 43. Hlifarsson K. S. 14. Jonsson D. 12. Petursson H. (G) 9. Tjorvason J. 10. Veseli S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Saevarsson G. ⚽, Magnusson S. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Sigfusson K. ⚽,
28', Bjarnason E. 🟨,
41', Sigurdsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Sigurdsson J. ↓, Bogdanovic B. ↑,
52', 3 - 0, Bjarnason E. ⚽, Magnusson S. (A),
53', Gunnarsson D. ↓, Hardarson A. ↑,
53', Gunnarsson D. ↓, Tjorvason J. ↑,
61', 4 - 0, Sigfusson K. ⚽,
62', Einarsson A. ↓, Hlifarsson K. S. ↑,
68', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Fridriksson S. ↑,
68', Bjarnason E. ↓, Hakonarson V. ↑,
68', Al Ghoul M. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
76', Saevarsson G. ↓, Ljubicic S. ↑,
80', 5 - 0, Sigfusson K. ⚽,
81', Sigfusson K. ↓, Gudmundsson A. ↑,
90+4', 6 - 0, Gudmundsson A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 4.

Leiknir R may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Keflavík is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 39:27. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 2.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Division 1
18.05.25	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	2:4 ✺
Icelandic Cup
14.05.25	Keflavík - Víkingur Ólafsvík	5:2 ✺
Icelandic Division 1
09.05.25	Keflavík - Throttur Reykjavik	0:1 ✺
02.05.25	Fjölnir - Keflavík	1:3 ✺
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.25	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW
- Leiknir Reykjavík
Icelandic Division 1
16.05.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - HK Kópavogur	0:1 ✺
09.05.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Thor Akureyri	1:4 ✺
02.05.25	Throttur Reykjavik - Leiknir Reykjavík	1:1 ✺
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.25	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	5:4 ✺
01.03.25	Leiknir Reykjavík - Stjarnan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
07.03.25	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	5:4
Icelandic Division 1
14.08.24	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	0:0
05.06.24	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	5:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.10.22	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	1:7
08.08.22	Leiknir Reykjavík - Keflavík	1:2
12.05.22	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	3:0
Icelandic League Cup
09.02.22	Keflavík - Leiknir Reykjavík	2:3

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