Match Info

NPL Victoria Women - Round 23

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Keilor Park		Heidelberg United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.10	3.60	1.93
	2.98	3.65	1.98
	3.02	3.6	1.99
	3.12	3.79	1.99
	2.9	3.55	1.9
	3.2	3.76	1.91
	2.95	3.65	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.38)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	1.95 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keilor Park
29.5%

Draw
24.5%

Heidelberg United
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37%

25.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

23.4%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keilor Park has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keilor Park's form might have worsened.

Heidelberg United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Heidelberg United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keilor Park than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keilor Park, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidelberg United than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Heidelberg United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Keilor Park - Heidelberg United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 and 10)

In recent matches, Keilor Park has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Heidelberg United is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keilor Park Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
24.07.26	Preston Lions - Keilor Park	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Keilor Park - Bentleigh Greens	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Essendon Royals - Keilor Park	3:0 ✺
04.07.26	Keilor Park - Melbourne City U20	3:1 ✺
27.06.26	Keilor Park - Melbourne Victory U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWW
- Heidelberg United Women
Australian NPL Victoria Women
25.07.26	Heidelberg United - Avondale	0:4 ✺
18.07.26	Bulleen Lions - Heidelberg United	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Heidelberg United - Alamein	1:2 ✺
03.07.26	Spring Hills - Heidelberg United	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Heidelberg United - Boroondara Eagles	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTLLL

Keilor Park - Heidelberg United

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Keilor Park - Heidelberg United Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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