Match Info

AFRICA: World Championship - Qualification - Round 6

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Nyayo National Stadium (Nairobi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Gabon	RTG 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Kenya	KBC Channel 1
Montenegro	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sportklub
South-africa	SuperSport Football
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	FIFA+


	Kenya		Gabon

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.9	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.9	2.95	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.9	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.9	Watch
	2.79	2.98	2.75	Watch
	2.75	2.75	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.59)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya
34.4%

Draw
32.9%

Gabon
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

33.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Gabon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Kenya - Gabon Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kenya will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Gabon will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Otieno I. (G) Richards Bay 6. Akumu A. Kheybar Khorramabad 15. Anyembe D. Viborg 7. Bajaber M. Police FC 12. Odada R. OFK Beograd 14. Olunga M. Al-Duhail 4. Omurwa J. Abha 19. Onyango R. Mahia 13. Otieno E. Rakow Czestochowa 22. Ouma T. Slavia Prague 11. Wilson W. Central Coast	23. Mbaba L. (G) 9. Aubameyang P. Al Qadisiya 20. Bouanga D. Los Angeles FC 5. Ecuele Manga B. (C) Paris 13 Atletico 12. Kanga G. Crvena zvezda 18. Lemina M. Galatasaray 14. Mboula U. Metz 4. Moucketou-Moussounda A. Caen 6. Obiang J. Pau 3. Oyono A. Frosinone 17. Poko A. Amedspor
Substitutes
8. Abuya D. Young Africans 17. Athuman I. Merida AD 21. Avire J. Porto Suez 9. Ayunga J. St. Mirren 23. Bwire B. (G) Polokwane City 10. Johana Omondi E. FC UTA Arad 16. Juma M. Esteghlal TEH 20. Nondi A. Ararat-Armenia 2. Okwaro M. 3. Omondi B. S. 5. Onyango B. Stellenbosch FC 18. Shikalo F. (G) Kinondoni MC	11. Allevinah J. Angers 2. Appindangoye A. Kocaelispor 10. Babicka S. Toulouse 19. Ekomie J. Angers 8. Loufilou C. Al Minaa 7. Mobili V. 22. Nani Nono Y. Cercle Mberi Sportif 1. Ngoubi Demba A. (G) Mosta FC 16. Noubi J. (G) Vannes 15. Nze S. 21. Oyono J. Frosinone 13. Sambissa D. Istanbulspor AS
Coaches
McCarthy B.	Mouyouma T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Kanga G. (A),
39', Moucketou-Moussounda A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Moucketou-Moussounda A. ↓, Appindangoye A. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Aubameyang P. (Pen),
62', 1 - 2, Olunga M. ⚽, Otieno E. (A),
64', Obiang J. ↓, Ekomie J. ↑,
65', Poko A. ↓, Loufilou C. ↑,
65', Mboula U. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
66', Akumu A. ↓, Abuya D. ↑,
66', Ouma T. ↓, Ayunga J. ↑,
70', Wilson W. ↓, Nondi A. ↑,
84', Kanga G. ↓, Nze S. ↑,
86', Bajaber M. ↓, Juma M. ↑,
86', Otieno E. ↓, Okwaro M. ↑,
89', Nondi A. 🟨,
90+2', Onyango R. 🟨,
90+3', Lemina M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kenya won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Gambia - Kenya	3:3 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
19.11.24	Kenya - Namibia	0:0 ✺
15.11.24	Zimbabwe - Kenya	1:1 ✺
African Nations Championship
03.11.24	Kenya - South Sudan	1:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
14.10.24	Kenya - Cameroon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTTL
- Gabon
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	Gabon - Seychelles	3:0 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
18.11.24	Central Africa - Gabon	0:1 ✺
15.11.24	Gabon - Morocco	1:5 ✺
15.10.24	Lesotho - Gabon	0:2 ✺
11.10.24	Gabon - Lesotho	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
16.11.23	Gabon - Kenya	2:1

Kenya - Gabon: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide