Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Kenya CB		Western Stima

	1	X	2
	1.45	3.7	6.75
	1.4	3.5	9
	1.46	3.55	6.8
	1.46	3.73	6.34
	1.5	3.6	6
	1.49	4.25	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.3)	3.72 ↓ (4.5)	6.74 ↓ (8.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
62.2%

Draw
24.4%

Western Stima
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

20.1%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

10.7%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kenya CB's form might have worsened.

Western Stima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (-25.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kenya CB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Stima than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Western Stima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kenya CB - Western Stima Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

KCB is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Western Stima is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

KCB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match KCB is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's KCB to win the game is with odds 1.43.

Last 4 head-to-head matches KCB won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams KCB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
17.01.21	AFC Leopards - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
09.01.21	Kenya CB - Bidco United	1:0 ✺
24.12.20	Kenya CB - Wazito	1:0 ✺
18.12.20	Bandari - Kenya CB	1:2 ✺
13.12.20	Kenya CB - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW
- Western Stima
Kenyan Premier League
18.01.21	Western Stima - Gor Mahia	1:3 ✺
10.01.21	Nzoia United - Western Stima	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	Bandari - Western Stima	2:0 ✺
23.12.20	Western Stima - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
18.12.20	AFC Leopards - Western Stima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
25.01.20	Kenya CB - Western Stima	3:1
25.11.19	Western Stima - Kenya CB	1:0
27.03.19	Kenya CB - Western Stima	1:1
23.01.19	Western Stima - Kenya CB	0:0

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