Match Info

Date: 18 January 2021, Monday


	Western Stima		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.5	1.67
	5	3.45	1.6
	4.5	3.55	1.65
	4.46	3.54	1.7
	4.33	3.25	1.75
	4.5	3.62	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (3.78)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	1.68 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Western Stima
19.9%

Draw
26%

Gor Mahia
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

26.5%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

17.8%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Stima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Stima than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Western Stima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gor Mahia than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gor Mahia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Western Stima - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Western Stima is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gor Mahia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Western Stima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gor Mahia is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Western Stima won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Western Stima won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Western Stima
Kenyan Premier League
10.01.21	Nzoia United - Western Stima	1:1 ✺
03.01.21	Bandari - Western Stima	2:0 ✺
23.12.20	Western Stima - Kariobangi Sharks	1:2 ✺
18.12.20	AFC Leopards - Western Stima	0:2 ✺
12.12.20	Western Stima - Tusker	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLWL
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
14.01.21	Gor Mahia - Mathare United	3:1 ✺
10.01.21	Kariobangi Sharks - Gor Mahia	4:3 ✺
CAF Champions League
26.12.20	Belouizdad - Gor Mahia	6:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
16.12.20	Tusker - Gor Mahia	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Gor Mahia - Ulinzi Stars	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
29.02.20	Gor Mahia - Western Stima	3:2
12.02.20	Western Stima - Gor Mahia	1:1
05.05.19	Western Stima - Gor Mahia	0:0
20.02.19	Gor Mahia - Western Stima	1:1
01.11.17	Gor Mahia - Western Stima	2:1
02.04.17	Western Stima - Gor Mahia	2:1
19.10.16	Gor Mahia - Western Stima	2:2

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