Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Kalevan Urheilupuisto (Kerava)


	Keski-Uusimaa		Mikkelin Palloilijat

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.33	4.5
	1.49	4.2	4.8
	1.53	4.3	4.7
	1.54	4.5	5.28
	1.53	4.42	4.79	Watch
	1.55	4	5
	1.54	4.3	4.97
	1.53	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.7)	4.29 ↑ (4.2)	4.84 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keski-Uusimaa
59.9%

Draw
21.3%

Mikkelin Palloilijat
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

21.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

21%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keski-Uusimaa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keski-Uusimaa's performance.

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mikkelin Palloilijat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mikkelin Palloilijat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keski Uusimaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Keski-Uusimaa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Voutilainen N. (G) 6. Azemi V. 26. Lappalainen E. 19. Lokake N. 5. Makila R. (C) 4. Niemela O. 22. Norss J. 21. Rokman D. 24. Romppanen S. 15. Toivonen H. 14. Umetsu N.	1. Volotinen S. (G) 24. Ali Abubakar T. 7. Chishima A. 6. El Alami R. (C) 16. Forsell N. 19. Janhunen V. 5. Karttunen A. 4. Laiho V. 2. Torniainen A. 8. Torniainen O. 25. Tsopgni N.
Substitutes
32. Avdi E. 2. Heikkinen T. 30. Inha N. 7. Kamara S. 8. Korpela E. 9. Kwasi Kwaw K. 77. Peyravi A. (G) 16. Siik S. 17. Tiainen S.	13. Coker M. 11. Hayhanen O. 9. Karttunen V. 12. Kimari O. 23. Kivinen E. 21. Sundberg K. 22. Uronen J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Rokman D. ⚽,
36', Ali Abubakar T. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Rokman D. ⚽,
45', Tsopgni N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Karttunen A. ↓, Hayhanen O. ↑,
54', Torniainen A. ↓, Karttunen V. ↑,
58', Niemela O. 🟨,
58', 2 - 1, Ali Abubakar T. ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, Janhunen V. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Norss J. ⚽,
75', Azemi V. ↓, Tiainen S. ↑,
75', Romppanen S. ↓, Kamara S. ↑,
80', Lappalainen E. ↓, Korpela E. ↑,
81', Norss J. ↓, Kwasi Kwaw K. ↑,
82', Torniainen O. ↓, Coker M. ↑,
90+4', Lokake N. ↓, Siik S. ↑,
90+7', Hayhanen O. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

Keski-Uusimaa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mikkelin Palloilijat's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mikkelin Palloilijat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Keski-Uusimaa has had a series of away games.

In this match, Keski-Uusimaa is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keski-Uusimaa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Keski-Uusimaa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
02.05.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Keski-Uusimaa	2:3 ✺
28.04.25	Keski-Uusimaa - KuPS Akatemia	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	KPV Kokkola - Keski-Uusimaa	1:0 ✺
Finnish Cup
15.04.25	LPS - Keski-Uusimaa	2:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
12.04.25	RoPS - Keski-Uusimaa	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLW
- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Cup
06.05.25	Lahden Reipas - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
03.05.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Jazz Pori	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Espoon Palloseura - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
19.04.25	Mikkelin Palloilijat - RoPS	0:1 ✺
11.04.25	Inter Turku II - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
05.07.18	Keski-Uusimaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1
06.05.18	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	1:0
30.09.17	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2
08.07.17	Keski-Uusimaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:1
Finnish Cup
29.03.15	Mikkelin Palloilijat - Keski-Uusimaa	1:2 ET

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