Match Info

Ykkonen - Championship Group

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Kalevan Urheilupuisto (Kerava)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Keski-Uusimaa		RoPS

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.75	2.45
	2.25	3.60	2.45
	2.22	3.65	2.52
	2.35	4.10	2.58
	2.46	3.9	2.36	Watch
	2.30	3.90	2.55
	2.36	3.92	2.57
	2.23	3.70	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.15)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	2.5 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keski-Uusimaa
39.6%

Draw
23.9%

RoPS
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

24.6%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

23.7%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keski-Uusimaa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

RoPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keski-Uusimaa than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RoPS than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Keski Uusimaa - RoPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
56. Tikkanen O. (G) 6. Azemi V. 28. Barraza A. 19. Lokake N. 5. Makila R. (C) 9. Minkkinen O. 31. Musa A. 25. Niemi O. 16. Norss J. 24. Romppanen S. 17. Tiainen S.	1. Korhonen T. (G) 14. Cato R. 23. Heiserholt F. (C) 28. Katermaa V. 77. McLeod S. 10. Mekki A. 34. Nijgh B. 2. Oinas A. 22. Savolainen A. 9. Suutari O. 11. Varhi T.
Substitutes
7. Ahmed M. 1. Barton R. (G) 15. Deng A. 3. Koivunen L. 23. Kortelainen R. 21. Marjo A. 11. Nenonen N.	30. Berry D. (G) 29. Korhonen M. 13. Listo T. 35. Mantymaki V. 24. Sukuvaara W. 7. Vatanen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Heiserholt F. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Niemi O. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Savolainen A. ↓, Mantymaki V. ↑,
68', McLeod S. ↓, Listo T. ↑,
69', Tiainen S. ↓, Deng A. ↑,
78', Varhi T. ↓, Vatanen V. ↑,
78', 3 - 1, Deng A. ⚽,
84', Norss J. ↓, Nenonen N. ↑,
84', Minkkinen O. ↓, Koivunen L. ↑,
90+2', Niemi O. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keski-Uusimaa won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Keski-Uusimaa has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:14 (averaging 2.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Keski-Uusimaa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:8 goals (averaging 1.3:2 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rovaniemi	25	12	8	5	52:37	15	44
5	Keski-Uusimaa	25	10	8	7	45:37	8	38

Last Results with these Odds

RoPS - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.11%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallokerho Keski-Uusimaa
Finnish Ykkonen
12.09.26	Tampere United - Keski-Uusimaa	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Keski-Uusimaa	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Keski-Uusimaa - JJK Jyväskylä	2:2 ✺
16.08.26	KuPS Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	2:2 ✺
11.08.26	Keski-Uusimaa - Inter Turku II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTTW
- RoPS
Finnish Ykkonen
12.09.26	RoPS - OLS	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	RoPS - VJS Vantaa	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Tampere United - RoPS	4:0 ✺
15.08.26	OLS - RoPS	3:3 ✺
11.08.26	RoPS - KuPS Akatemia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
05.07.26	RoPS - Keski-Uusimaa	4:3
18.04.26	Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS	0:2
13.09.25	Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS	2:2
02.07.25	Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS	0:4
12.04.25	RoPS - Keski-Uusimaa	0:5
03.08.24	RoPS - Keski-Uusimaa	2:3
22.05.24	Keski-Uusimaa - RoPS	3:0

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