Match Info

1. Lig - Round 10

Date: 14 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aktepe Stadium (Ankara) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ulker H. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Turkey	20:00	beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports MAX 1, Tabii Spor 6


	Keçiörengücü		Igdirspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.00	3.30	3.10
	2.14	3.29	3.1	Watch
	2.28	3.45	3.24
	2.2	3.39	3.13	Watch
	2.2	3.35	3.2
	2.23	3.22	3.22	Watch
	2.17	3.25	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↑ (2.07)	3.29 ↓ (3.58)	3.14 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keçiörengücü
42.5%

Draw
28%

Igdirspor
29.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25.7%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

26.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keçiörengücü has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor Predictions

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.95) (votes: 91%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Keçiörengücü will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Erdogan M. (G) 12. Keskin B. 3. Wellington Nascimento 4. Celik A. 37. Aksu D. 8. Karaogul I. 14. Akdag I. (C) 7. Roshi O. 20. Edumondo A. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M.	29. Szumski J. (G) 39. Karabey H. 5. Ozturk A. (C) 18. Kouagba L. 28. Gonul S. 7. Camara M. 21. Erdogan D. 24. Crociata G. 17. Gurler S. 58. Kaya G. 9. Colak A.
Substitutes
16. Ayaydin O. 5. Caliskan O. 9. Demirel O. 6. Develi E. 77. Fofana M. 10. Jefferson 33. Lus S. 45. Nabian H. 18. Satilmis E. (G) 19. Yilmaz E.	33. Afena-Gyan F. 61. Asan S. 10. Bacuna L. 44. Caliskan L. 19. Ozcan O. 4. Ozturk A. 22. Selvi A. 6. Senyurt D. 1. Tepe T. (G) 11. Yilmaz M.
Coaches
Korkmaz O.	Kocak K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Ezeh F. 🟨,
24', Ozturk A. 🟨,
44', Wellington Nascimento 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aksu D. ↓, Lus S. ↑,
47', Camara M. 🟨,
69', Gurler S. ↓, Afena-Gyan F. ↑,
69', Colak A. ↓, Ozcan O. ↑,
74', Lus S. 🟨,
74', Edumondo A. ↓, Develi E. ↑,
80', Roshi O. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
81', Ezeh F. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
83', Camara M. ↓, Bacuna L. ↑,
89', Akdag I. 🟨,
90+3', Karaogul I. ↓, Jefferson ↑,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Final).

Keçiörengücü has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Igdirspor is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Keçiörengücü may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Keçiörengücü holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Keçiörengücü: Duman A. (Inactive).

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Keçiörengücü has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Keçiörengücü against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Igdir FK	12	8	2	2	17:9	8	26
6	Keciorengucu	12	5	5	2	23:15	8	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keçiörengücü
Turkish First League
09.10.26	Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Gençlerbirliği - Keçiörengücü	0:1 ✺
Turkish First League
19.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sivasspor	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vanspor - Keçiörengücü	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keçiörengücü - Sarıyer	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWTTW
- Igdirspor
Turkish First League
10.10.26	Igdirspor - Batman Petrolspor	2:1 ✺
18.09.26	Muğlaspor - Igdirspor	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Igdirspor - Mardin 1969	1:0 ✺
07.09.26	İstanbulspor - Igdirspor	1:2 ✺
03.09.26	Igdirspor - Manisa FK	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
08.04.26	Igdirspor - Keçiörengücü	0:1
29.11.25	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	1:2
16.02.25	Igdirspor - Keçiörengücü	3:0
22.09.24	Keçiörengücü - Igdirspor	2:0

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