The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bodrumspor 34%
Draw 26.7%
Keçiörengücü 39.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.2%
27.6%
34.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.7%
29.4%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bodrumspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Keçiörengücü has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keçiörengücü's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bodrumspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keçiörengücü than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keçiörengücü, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
20%
80%
Bodrumspor - Keçiörengücü Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Keçiörengücü will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - Tie (3.75) (votes: 83%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Tosun B. (G) 77. Yavuzay B. 5. Ajeti Ar. 34. Aytemur A. (C) 75. Kaplan E. 20. Sertkaya Y. 8. Erdilman M. 11. Bilsel E. 17. Arslan E. 19. Aslan B. 26. Aboubakar V.
1. Erdogan M. (G) 12. Keskin B. 3. Wellington Nascimento 4. Celik A. 37. Aksu D. 8. Karaogul I. 6. Develi E. 7. Roshi O. 20. Edumondo A. 21. Ezeh F. 55. Diouf M. (C)
Substitutes
54. Adiyaman R. (G) 23. Apaydin F. 82. Baskan B. 6. de Sousa T. 9. Kayaarasi K. 14. Loshaj F. 80. Providence R. 52. Sahin D. 68. Tarim I. 4. Yilmaz A. S.
22. Ayan H. 16. Ayaydin O. 2. Bahadir Y. 5. Caliskan O. 77. Fofana M. 10. Jefferson 33. Lus S. 45. Nabian H. 18. Satilmis E. (G) 19. Yilmaz E.
Coaches
Eser B.
Korkmaz O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
23', Develi E. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Roshi O. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
33', Arslan E. 🟨,
43', Erdilman M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Arslan E. ↓, Loshaj F. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Edumondo A. ⚽, Ezeh F. (A),
58', Aslan B. ↓, de Sousa T. ↑,
58', Erdilman M. ↓, Providence R. ↑,
60', Yilmaz S. 🟥,
61', Edumondo A. ↓, Jefferson ↑,
75', Ezeh F. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
75', Roshi O. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
77', Bilsel E. ↓, Kayaarasi K. ↑,
85', de Sousa T. 🟨,
86', Develi E. ↓, Ayan H. ↑,
86', Diouf M. ↓, Ayaydin O. ↑,
89', Sertkaya Y. ↓, Baskan B. ↑,
90+1', Nabian H. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 14th and 6th in the Promotion - 1. Lig Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bodrumspor won 1.
Bodrumspor has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Keçiörengücü shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Keçiörengücü may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Confirmed absences for Bodrumspor: Dumanli C.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Bodrumspor: Ajeti Ar.
(Muscle Injury)
Aslan A.
(Hip Injury).
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Bodrumspor has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:19 (averaging 1.5:1.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bodrumspor against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:10 goals (averaging 1.2:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Keciorengucu
12
5
5
2
23:15
8
20
9
Bodrumspor
12
4
5
3
15:11
4
17
Last Results with these Odds
Bodrumspor - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.22%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Keçiörengücü - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 34.14%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.