Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 24

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)

Referee: Romanyuk A. (Ukr)


	Kharkiv		Dnipro-1

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.98
	3.75	3.3	2	Watch
	3.84	3.51	2.02
	3.84	3.51	1.97
	3.4	3.3	2
	3.89	3.55	2.02	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↓ (4.53)	3.41 ↓ (3.8)	1.99 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
25.3%

Draw
27.6%

Dnipro-1
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

25.1%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

25.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Dnipro-1 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dnipro-1 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dnipro-1 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kharkiv - Dnipro 1 Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Mozil O. (G) 29. Zhychykov M. 32. Imerekov M. 74. Faryna M. 2. Kapinus D. 28. Gabelok A. (C) 14. Yusov D. 22. Dmytrenko V. 80. Yurchenko V. 9. Boryachuk A. 97. Sydorov O.	1. Volynets Y. (G) 11. Miroshnichenko D. 39. Svatok O. (C) 5. Sarapiy E. 42. Pasich Y. 18. Babenko R. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 9. Gutsulyak O. 17. Lednev B. 27. Ocheretko O. 10. Tretyakov M.
Substitutes
30. Bezuglyy M. 19. Garmash D. 40. Obinaiah S. 24. Owusu R. 91. Panchenko M. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 16. Smitiukh O. 1. Sydorenko D. (G) 6. Vachiberadze B.	4. Avramenko O. 14. Gadzhyev R. 20. Gorbunov S. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 29. Melnychenko M. 19. Sholupets M. 34. Tanchyk V. 33. Yurchuk V. (G)
Coaches
Skrypnyk V.	Maksymov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Gutsulyak O. ⚽, Sarapiy E. (A),
39', Gadzhyev R. ↓, Gorbunov S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dmytrenko V. ↓, Garmash D. ↑,
54', Sarapiy E. 🟨,
73', Boryachuk A. ↓, Owusu R. ↑,
75', Pasich Y. ↓, Melnychenko M. ↑,
81', Ocheretko O. ↓, Tanchyk V. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Imerekov M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Metalist 1925 won 0.

Metalist 1925 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Dnipro-1 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dnipro-1 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dnipro-1 is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Metalist 1925 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Metalist 1925 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
07.04.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Kharkiv - Rukh Lviv	1:4 ✺
08.03.24	Kharkiv - LNZ Cherkasy	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Mynai - Kharkiv	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLTL
- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
09.04.24	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Dnipro-1 - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Obolon - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
02.10.23	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	1:0
02.04.23	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	0:3
11.09.22	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	3:0
28.08.21	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:2
Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.03.19	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	1:2
11.08.18	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	0:2
Ukrainian Druha Liga
07.04.18	Dnipro-1 - Kharkiv	1:0

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