Match Info

UKRAINE: Premier League - Round 23

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Panchyshyn D. (Ukr)


	Dnipro-1		Zorya Luhansk

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.4	4.6
	1.78	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.79	3.39	5.11
	1.78	3.39	5.11
	1.7	3.4	4.5
	1.75	3.5	5.6	Watch
	1.72	3.55	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.63)	3.43 ↓ (3.99)	4.9 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnipro-1
53.5%

Draw
27.4%

Zorya Luhansk
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.5%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

24.8%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnipro-1 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Zorya Luhansk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnipro-1 than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dnipro-1, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zorya Luhansk than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Dnipro 1 - Zorya Luhansk Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dnipro-1 will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Volynets Y. (G) 3. Adamyuk V. 18. Babenko R. 9. Gutsulyak O. 17. Lednev B. 11. Miroshnichenko D. 8. Pikhalyonok O. 22. Rubchynskyi V. 5. Sarapiy E. 39. Svatok O. (C) 34. Tanchyk V.	1. Saputin O. (G) 7. Antyukh D. 21. Basic J. 44. Batagov A. 3. Bol A. 2. Butko B. (C) 20. Churko V. 70. Kyryukhantsev I. 47. Vantukh R. 16. Voloshyn V. 5. Yatsyk O.
Substitutes
4. Avramenko O. 14. Gadzhyev R. 20. Gorbunov S. 26. Grebenyuk M. 12. Kinareikin Y. (G) 29. Melnychenko M. 27. Ocheretko O. 42. Pasich Y. 10. Tretyakov M. 33. Yurchuk V. (G)	4. Aziangbe K. 19. Bugay V. 15. Dryshlyuk K. 17. Gorbach I. 8. Khakhlyov O. 22. Micin P. 9. Myshnyov D. 34. Nabyt M. (G) 11. Ndour A. 32. Slesar A. 30. Turbayevskyi M. (G)
Coaches
Maksymov Y.	Koval Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Pikhalyonok O. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Voloshyn V. ↓, Gorbach I. ↑,
47', Batagov A. 🟨,
48', 1 - 0, Svatok O. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Gutsulyak O. ⚽, Miroshnichenko D. (A),
54', Babenko R. 🟨,
55', 2 - 1, Kyryukhantsev I. ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, Gorbach I. ⚽, Antyukh D. (A),
63', Tanchyk V. ↓, Gorbunov S. ↑,
68', Adamyuk V. 🟨,
73', Kyryukhantsev I. 🟨,
74', Lednev B. ↓, Tretyakov M. ↑,
74', Sarapiy E. ↓, Pasich Y. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dnipro-1 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Dnipro-1 is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Dnipro-1 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnipro-1 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dnipro-1
Ukrainian Premier League
31.03.24	Kolos Kovalivka - Dnipro-1	0:2 ✺
12.03.24	LNZ Cherkasy - Dnipro-1	1:1 ✺
08.03.24	Dnipro-1 - Rukh Lviv	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Obolon - Dnipro-1	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Dnipro-1 - Mynai	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLWT
- Zorya Luhansk
Ukrainian Premier League
04.04.24	Zorya Luhansk - Dynamo Kyiv	0:3 ✺
31.03.24	Zorya Luhansk - Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
12.03.24	Dynamo Kyiv - Zorya Luhansk	2:0 ✺
07.03.24	Zorya Luhansk - Mynai	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	Oleksandriya - Zorya Luhansk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
24.09.23	Zorya Luhansk - Dnipro-1	0:1
15.04.23	Zorya Luhansk - Dnipro-1	2:1
09.10.22	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	3:0
26.09.21	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	0:4
05.05.21	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	0:1
06.12.20	Zorya Luhansk - Dnipro-1	3:1
03.11.19	Dnipro-1 - Zorya Luhansk	1:4

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