Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)

Referee: Kovalenko A. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, UPL TV
World	Onefootball


	Kharkiv		Polissya Zhytomyr

	1	X	2
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.05	2.88	2.45
	3.04	2.91	2.55
	3.11	3.3	2.4	Watch
	3	2.75	2.5
	2.93	3.03	2.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.96 ↓ (3.27)	2.49 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
30.9%

Draw
31.5%

Polissya Zhytomyr
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

29.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

28.9%

40.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Polissya Zhytomyr has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Kharkiv - Polissya Zhytomyr Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kharkiv will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 27. Krupskyi I. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 24. Martynyuk O. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 15. Antyukh D. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 19. Rashica E. 98. Itodo P.	23. Volynets Y. (G) 31. Maisuradze G. 44. Chobotenko S. 5. Sarapiy E. 15. Mykhaylichenko B. 8. Babenko R. (C) 11. Gutsulyak O. 18. Andriyevski O. 14. Emerllahu L. 45. Bragaru M. 95. Krasnopir I.
Substitutes
7. Ari Moura 8. Castillo S. 77. Cauan Baptistella 11. Churko V. 37. Dubko V. 14. Gadzhyev R. 2. Kapinus D. 17. Kogut I. 99. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 26. Zabergja B.	21. Bushchan G. (G) 27. Fedor O. 9. Filippov O. 89. Gayduchyk M. 35. Koberniuk K. 4. Kravchenko M. 1. Kudryk O. (G) 30. Lednev B. 60. Melnychenko M. 7. Nazarenko O. 19. Shepelev V. 29. Tomandzoto B.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Rotan R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Bragaru M. ⚽, Krasnopir I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Krasnopir I. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
61', Emerllahu L. ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
61', Bragaru M. ↓, Nazarenko O. ↑,
66', Kalitvintsev V. ↓, Castillo S. ↑,
66', Antyukh D. ↓, Ari Moura ↑,
78', Rashica E. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
78', Martynyuk O. ↓, Salyuk V. ↑,
78', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Zabergja B. ↑,
79', Andriyevski O. ↓, Shepelev V. ↑,
88', Maisuradze G. ↓, Koberniuk K. ↑,
89', Shepelev V. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Metalist 1925 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Metalist 1925 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Polissya Zhytomyr	7	6	0	1	15:5	10	18
5	FC Kharkiv	6	4	0	2	12:4	8	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
26.04.26	LNZ Cherkasy - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.04.26	Kharkiv - Chernihiv	0:1 penalties ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
18.04.26	Kharkiv - Kudrivka	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLWWW
- Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League
26.04.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Obolon	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Poltava - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:4 ✺
05.04.26	Polissya Zhytomyr - Veres Rivne	1:1 ✺
18.03.26	Kudrivka - Polissya Zhytomyr	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
03.11.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0
19.05.24	Kharkiv - Polissya Zhytomyr	3:3
11.11.23	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	2:1
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.04.21	Polissya Zhytomyr - Kharkiv	0:0

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