Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - Semi-finals

Date: 22 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kolos Stadium (Kovalivka)


	Kharkiv		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.3	11.5
	1.18	5.4	13.72
	1.27	5.56	12.25	Watch
	1.22	4.8	13
	1.22	5.22	14.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.35)	5.26 ↑ (4.88)	12.95 ↑ (9.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kharkiv
75.4%

Draw
17.5%

Chernihiv
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

19.5%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18.7%

9.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Kharkiv - Chernihiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kharkiv will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Varakuta D. (G) 13. Salyuk V. 18. Pavlyuk Y. 31. Shabanov A. 27. Krupskyi I. 5. Kaliuzhnyi I. (C) 26. Zabergja B. 45. Kalitvintsev V. 16. Arevalo Chaparro J. N. 19. Rashica E. 98. Itodo P.	35. Tatarenko M. (C) 2. Galstyan E. 55. Romanchenko A. 23. Zenchenko O. 12. Kartushov Y. 38. Shushko P. 33. Porokhnya A. 8. Bybik A. 88. Stolyarchuk A. 77. Serdyuk M. 21. Bezborodko D.
Substitutes
15. Antyukh D. 7. Ari Moura 8. Castillo S. 77. Cauan Baptistella 11. Churko V. 37. Dubko V. 14. Gadzhyev R. 17. Kogut I. 25. Lytvynenko I. 24. Martynyuk O. 99. Mba C. 23. Protsenko Y. (G)	13. Bezgubchenko D. 17. Chaban V. 20. Fateev D. 99. Gerasimenko D. (G) 10. Koydan V. 9. Kulyk D. 7. Myronenko D. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 6. Shalfeev Y. 95. Shapoval V. 30. Teplyakov N.
Coaches
Bartulovic M.	Chorniy V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Shushko P. 🟥,
19', Stolyarchuk A. ↓, Shalfeev Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Serdyuk M. ↓, Bezgubchenko D. ↑,
55', Rashica E. ↓, Ari Moura ↑,
55', Zabergja B. ↓, Antyukh D. ↑,
60', Bybik A. ↓, Myronenko D. ↑,
60', Bezborodko D. ↓, Teplyakov N. ↑,
66', Myronenko D. 🟨,
69', Itodo P. ↓, Mba C. ↑,
69', Kalitvintsev V. ↓, Kogut I. ↑,
79', Galstyan E. ↓, Shapoval V. ↑,
80', Salyuk V. ↓, Cauan Baptistella ↑,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Kaliuzhnyi I. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Shapoval V. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Antyukh D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Shalfeev Y. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Cauan Baptistella (Penalty Awarded),
3, Teplyakov N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Arevalo Chaparro J. N. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Porokhnya A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ari Moura (Penalty Awarded),
5, Romanchenko A. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Pavlyuk Y. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Bezgubchenko D. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Mba C. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Zenchenko O. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Metalist 1925 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chernihiv has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Chernihiv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Metalist 1925 has had a series of home games.

In this match, Metalist 1925 is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
18.04.26	Kharkiv - Kudrivka	1:0 ✺
15.04.26	Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	4:0 ✺
11.04.26	Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Kolos Kovalivka - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
19.03.26	Kharkiv - Poltava	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWTW
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
18.04.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Chernihiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
07.04.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
03.04.26	Chernihiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Chernihiv - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLLW

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