Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 13

Date: 19 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Takhti Stadium (Khorramabad)


	Kheybar Khorramabad		Esteghlal Khuzestan

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.8	2.5
	2.9	2.8	2.65
	2.75	2.7	2.59
	2.79	2.84	2.64	Watch
	2.8	2.7	2.62
	2.8	2.83	2.64
	2.9	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.6)	2.78 ↑ (2.7)	2.61 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kheybar Khorramabad
32.2%

Draw
32.8%

Esteghlal Khuzestan
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

33.3%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

35.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kheybar Khorramabad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Esteghlal Khuzestan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kheybar Khorramabad than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal Khuzestan than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	75%	8.3%

Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kheybar Khorramabad will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Esteghlal Khuzestan will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	3. Abbasi A.
	13. Abshak M.
	11. Barani B.
	23. Bifouma T.
	34. Gohari A. (G)
	4. Helichi A.
	5. Hosseini S. M.
	21. Mohkamkar A.
	6. Motlaghzadeh M.
	8. Ogaili M.
	10. Savio Roberto

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Bifouma T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bifouma T. ↓, Shahbazzadeh S. ↑,
55', Motlaghzadeh M. 🟨,
60', Abarghouei H. ↓, Abdi M. ↑,
65', Savio Roberto ↓, Babaei E. ↑,
70', Faraz E. ↓, Tabatabaei M. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Tabatabaei M. ⚽,
89', Rostami A. ↓, Nakhodkar H. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kheybar Khorramabad won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Esteghlal Khuzestan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Kheybar Khorramabad won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 0.7:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Kheybar Khorramabad won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kheybar Khorramabad
Iran Pro League
13.12.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0 ✺
02.12.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Malavan	1:3 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
22.11.24	Fard Alborz - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
01.11.24	Shams Azar Qazvin - Kheybar Khorramabad	2:0 ✺
26.10.24	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TLWLW
- Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
10.12.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Zob Ahan	0:0 ✺
02.12.24	Havadar - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:1 ✺
Iran Hazfi Cup
23.11.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Paykan	0:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
30.10.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Persepolis	1:0 ✺
25.10.24	Nassaji Mazandaran - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
25.02.23	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
28.09.22	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	1:1
05.03.22	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	0:0
31.10.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	2:1
02.06.21	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:1
18.01.21	Kheybar Khorramabad - Esteghlal Khuzestan	0:0

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