FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Championship Group - Round 4
Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
Akron Tolyatti 2
1
X
2
1.31
4.65
9.59
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.31 ↑ (1.3)
4.65 ↑ (4.6)
9.59 ↓ (9.65)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Khimik Dzerzhinsk 70.5%
Draw 19.9%
Akron Tolyatti 2 9.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70.6%
19.9%
9.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.8%
19%
9.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Akron Tolyatti 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khimik Dzerzhinsk than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti 2 than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Makeev N. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', (Penalty Awarded),
71', 1 - 1, Gruznov I. ⚽,
84', 1 - 2, Zelenov S. ⚽,
Preview
Khimik Dzerzhinsk has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Akron 2 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The betting markets point to Khimik Dzerzhinsk as the clear and undisputed favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Khimik Dzerzhinsk in today's match, at odds of 1.3.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Khimik Dzerzhinsk has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:2 (averaging 3:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Khimik Dzerzhinsk against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:1 goals (averaging 2:0.5 per game).
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