Match Info

Thai League 2 - Round 16

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Khonkaen Stadium (Khon Kaen)

Where to Watch on TV:


Thailand	AIS PLAY


	Khonkaen United		Nongbua Pitchaya

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.75	3.45
	1.91	3.65	3.33
	1.87	3.83	3.37	Watch
	1.85	3.4	3.3
	1.9	3.7	3.5	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.56)	3.64 ↓ (4.23)	3.38 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khonkaen United
48.4%

Draw
24.9%

Nongbua Pitchaya
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

21.2%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khonkaen United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khonkaen United's form might have worsened.

Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nongbua Pitchaya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khonkaen United than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khonkaen United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nongbua Pitchaya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Sangkasopha P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, Songma J. ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, Boodjinda A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khonkaen United won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Nongbua Pitchaya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Khonkaen United is considered a favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Khonkaen United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Khonkaen United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khonkaen United
Thai League 2
03.12.25	Chiangmai United - Khonkaen United	3:2 ✺
30.11.25	Nakhon Pathom United - Khonkaen United	0:0 ✺
21.11.25	Khonkaen United - Rasisalai United	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Trat - Khonkaen United	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Khonkaen United - Pattaya United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTTTT
- Nongbua Pitchaya FC
Thai League 2
03.12.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Nakhon Pathom United	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Pattaya United - Nongbua Pitchaya	4:0 ✺
23.11.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Trat	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya	5:2 ✺
01.11.25	Nongbua Pitchaya - Songkhla	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Thai League 1
15.03.25	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	0:1
03.11.24	Nongbua Pitchaya - Khonkaen United	6:1
Thai League Cup
06.12.23	Nongbua Pitchaya - Khonkaen United	1:2
Thai League 1
06.05.23	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	2:1
27.11.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Khonkaen United	1:1
26.02.22	Nongbua Pitchaya - Khonkaen United	1:0
16.10.21	Khonkaen United - Nongbua Pitchaya	1:0

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