The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Police Tero 43.8%
Draw 25.9%
Nongbua Pitchaya 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
26%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.5%
25.2%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police Tero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Nongbua Pitchaya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police Tero than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Police Tero - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Marom W. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Pedro Henrique ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Capistrano J. ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Thai League 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Police Tero will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Police Tero won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Police Tero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).