Match Info

IRAN: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 8 November 2023, Wednesday


	Khoosheh Talai		Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.55	2.8
	2.82	2.46	2.84
	2.82	2.47	2.84
	2.4	3.1	2.91
	2.8	2.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.57)	2.64 ↑ (2.47)	2.84 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khoosheh Talai
33.6%

Draw
34.4%

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

36.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

37.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khoosheh Talai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khoosheh Talai than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman than the current prediction. (-4%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Khoosheh Talai is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Mes Shahr-e Babak is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Khoosheh Talai won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Khoosheh Talai won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khoosheh Talai
Iran Division 1
02.11.23	Esteghlal Molasani - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
27.10.23	Khoosheh Talai - Shahr Raz	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Kheybar Khorramabad - Khoosheh Talai	5:1 ✺
15.10.23	Khoosheh Talai - Darya Babol	1:0 ✺
09.10.23	Fajr Sepasi - Khoosheh Talai	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWL
- Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman
Iran Division 1
02.11.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Naft Masjed Soleyman	2:2 ✺
27.10.23	SaiPa - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0 ✺
20.10.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Damash Gilan	3:2 ✺
14.10.23	Naft va Gaz Gachsaran - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Mes Sungun	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Iran Division 1
22.04.23	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Khoosheh Talai	1:1
12.11.22	Khoosheh Talai - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	0:0
05.03.22	Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman - Khoosheh Talai	0:1
31.10.21	Khoosheh Talai - Mes Shahr-e Babak Kerman	2:1

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