Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 1 June 2024, Saturday


	Khust		Zvyagel

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.6	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.31)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	2.19 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khust
33.1%

Draw
25.3%

Zvyagel
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

25.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.5%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khust has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Khust's form might have worsened.

Zvyagel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zvyagel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khust than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khust, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvyagel than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zvyagel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Belimenko A. (G) 19. Borysenko V. 22. Chaban V. 30. Chervinskyi D. 94. Ivanov V. (C) 13. Kolchin K. 18. Novikov S. 17. Pavlych B. 21. Prykhodko N. 14. Shevchuk V. 99. Stankovych I.	1. Yashkov A. (C) 20. Andrushchenko M. 78. Cherednychenko I. 11. Fesenko A. 2. Jarju M. 74. Morgovskiy Y. 5. Nesterov A. 7. Orynchak B. 33. Panchyshyn B. 14. Tomandzoto B. 40. Wendell
Substitutes
35. Banyk D. 6. Dyianchuk D. 9. Garnaga V. 77. Gromenko V. 7. Kurylets D. 25. Lednev N. 1. Levchenko I. (G) 55. Olieinikov V. 15. Pylyp M. 27. Ryabenko V. (G) 8. Tsvyk M. 33. Vadovsky M.	12. Aniagboso C. (G) 77. Berezka D. 97. Bliznichenko A. 16. Gavrilyuk N. 19. Guk I. 25. Kovalenko M. A. (G) 9. Kyslenko S. 21. Nykytyuk A. 22. Petruk N. 24. Skydan V. 18. Vlasyuk A. 10. Volynets D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Stankovych I. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Fesenko A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Khust is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zvyagel is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zvyagel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khust
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.05.24	Khust - Dinaz Vyshgorod	1:7 ✺
19.05.24	Kremin Kremenchuk - Khust	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Khust - Chernihiv	2:4 ✺
04.05.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Khust	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Khust	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- FC Zvyagel
Ukrainian Druha Liga
19.05.24	Zvyagel - Skala 1911	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Rukh Lviv 2 - Zvyagel	1:2 ✺
04.05.24	Zvyagel - Kudrivka	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Druzhba Myrivka - Zvyagel	1:1 ✺
21.04.24	Zvyagel - Karpaty Lviv 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTTW

Khust - Zvyagel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide