Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Relegation Group - Round 8

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Khust		Chernihiv

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	4.5
	1.64	4.07	4.44
	1.6	4	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.62)	4.02 ↓ (4.18)	4.45 (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khust
56.7%

Draw
22.7%

Chernihiv
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

22.1%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.4%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khust has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Chernihiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khust than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Levchenko I. (G) 30. Chervinskyi D. 6. Dyianchuk D. 9. Garnaga V. 7. Kurylets D. 18. Novikov S. 17. Pavlych B. (C) 21. Prykhodko N. 14. Shevchuk V. 99. Stankovych I. 8. Tsvyk M.	99. Gerasymenko D. (G) 30. Bybik A. 11. Fedosov P. 2. Galstyan E. 31. Mentey V. (C) 7. Myronenko D. 91. Osypenko O. 14. Sakhno D. 21. Shkolnyi V. 3. Shumylo M. 23. Zenchenko O.
Substitutes
35. Banyk D. 12. Belimenko A. (G) 19. Borysenko V. 22. Chaban V. 77. Gromenko V. 94. Ivanov V. 25. Lednev N. 55. Olieinikov V. 15. Pylyp M. 27. Ryabenko V. (G) 33. Vadovsky M. 20. Vasylynets V. 71. Yanko M.	13. Bezgubchenko D. 27. Davydenko D. 9. Kryvoborodenko K. 44. Lyanskoronskyi B. 26. Pinchuk K. 19. Posmashny N. 22. Roshchynskyi O. (G) 6. Veresotskyi A. 77. Volskyi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Fedosov P. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Dyianchuk D. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Fedosov P. ⚽,
26', Sakhno D. 🟨,
31', Chervinskyi D. 🟨,
40', Myronenko D. 🟨,
42', 2 - 2, Shevchuk V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Garnaga V. ↓, Borysenko V. ↑,
46', Kurylets D. ↓, Vasylynets V. ↑,
46', Stankovych I. ↓, Chaban V. ↑,
46', Mentey V. ↓, Bezgubchenko D. ↑,
61', Bybik A. 🟨,
68', 2 - 3, Bezgubchenko D. ⚽,
71', Sakhno D. 🟥,
74', 2 - 4, Shkolnyi V. ⚽,
75', Prykhodko N. ↓, Vadovsky M. ↑,
76', Fedosov P. ↓, Volskyi D. ↑,
76', Bybik A. ↓, Kryvoborodenko K. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

Khust is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chernihiv is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chernihiv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Khust is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Khust to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Khust won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Khust
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.05.24	Hirnyk-Sport - Khust	0:2 ✺
20.04.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Khust	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Khust - Kremin Kremenchuk	1:0 ✺
05.04.24	Chernihiv - Khust	0:2 ✺
30.03.24	Khust - Hirnyk-Sport	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWWW
- FC Chernihiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
04.05.24	Chernihiv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi	1:5 ✺
27.04.24	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Chernihiv	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Chernihiv - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Nyva Ternopil - Chernihiv	0:0 ✺
05.04.24	Chernihiv - Khust	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.04.24	Chernihiv - Khust	0:2

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