Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Bieberer Berg Stadion (Offenbach am Main)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Kickers Offenbach		Freiberg

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.75	2.08
	3.12	3.77	2.06
	3.04	3.7	2
	4.06	3.94	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↓ (4.06)	3.79 ↓ (3.94)	1.95 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kickers Offenbach
28.2%

Draw
24.4%

Freiberg
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

23.1%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

23.2%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kickers Offenbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kickers Offenbach's performance.

Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Freiberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kickers Offenbach than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kickers Offenbach that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Freiberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kickers Offenbach - Freiberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
24', 1 - 0, Crljenec D. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Grobelnik G. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Grobelnik G. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
70', 1 - 3, Selitaj H. ⚽,
88', 1 - 4, Valpoort M. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 4, Bah C. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 5, Kudala J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Offenbach won 2.

Offenbach has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Freiberg is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Freiberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Freiberg is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Offenbach won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Offenbach won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kickers Offenbach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.09.25	Sonnenhof Großaspach - Kickers Offenbach	3:3 ✺
05.09.25	Kickers Offenbach - Homburg	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Stuttgarter Kickers - Kickers Offenbach	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Kickers Offenbach - TSV Steinbach Haiger	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Mainz II - Kickers Offenbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTWLL
- SGV Freiberg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.09.25	Freiberg - Bahlinger	5:0 ✺
05.09.25	Astoria Walldorf - Freiberg	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Freiberg - Balingen	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Eintracht Trier - Freiberg	1:4 ✺
16.08.25	Freiberg - Schott Mainz	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.12.24	Kickers Offenbach - Freiberg	0:2
10.08.24	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	0:0
06.04.24	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	2:2
03.10.23	Kickers Offenbach - Freiberg	2:0
10.03.23	Kickers Offenbach - Freiberg	2:1
03.09.22	Freiberg - Kickers Offenbach	2:2

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