Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday

Location: Bieberer Berg Stadion (Offenbach am Main)


	Kickers Offenbach		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.75	2.9	2.55
	2.75	3	2.55
	2.89	3.09	2.58
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.8	3.2	2.5
	2.75	3	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.3)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)	2.6 (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kickers Offenbach
34.4%

Draw
30.2%

Ulm 1846
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kickers Offenbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kickers Offenbach than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kickers Offenbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Kickers Offenbach - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Offenbach will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Ulm will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Offenbach won 1.

Now both teams are in good shape.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Offenbach won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Offenbach won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kickers Offenbach
German Regionalliga Sudwest
16.10.22	VfB Stuttgart II - Kickers Offenbach	0:2 ✺
07.10.22	Kickers Offenbach - Astoria Walldorf	3:0 ✺
30.09.22	Kickers Offenbach - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Hessen Kassel - Kickers Offenbach	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Kickers Offenbach - Homburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTWL
- Ulm 1846
German Regionalliga Sudwest
15.10.22	Ulm 1846 - Hessen Kassel	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Homburg - Ulm 1846	1:4 ✺
30.09.22	Ulm 1846 - Balingen	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	VfR Aalen - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Ulm 1846 - Freiberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
18.12.21	Ulm 1846 - Kickers Offenbach	1:0
28.08.21	Kickers Offenbach - Ulm 1846	1:2
03.04.21	Kickers Offenbach - Ulm 1846	1:0
16.10.20	Ulm 1846 - Kickers Offenbach	1:0
25.11.19	Ulm 1846 - Kickers Offenbach	1:0
29.07.19	Kickers Offenbach - Ulm 1846	2:0
23.02.19	Kickers Offenbach - Ulm 1846	3:0

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