The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kigali 19.7%
Draw 30.7%
Police 49.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.6%
32.5%
41.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
31.4%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kigali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kigali's form might have worsened.
Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Police's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kigali than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kigali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Police, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kigali - Police Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 2.
Kigali is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Police is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Police could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kigali won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Kigali won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).