Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Kingstonian		Brightlingsea Regent

	1	X	2
	1.63	3.8	4.1
	1.69	3.85	3.9
	1.69	4.18	4.13
	1.67	3.4	4.2
	1.65	3.96	4.25
	1.68	3.75	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.97)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	4.13 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kingstonian
54.3%

Draw
23.7%

Brightlingsea Regent
22%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46%

26.7%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kingstonian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kingstonian's performance.

Brightlingsea Regent has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brightlingsea Regent might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kingstonian than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kingstonian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brightlingsea Regent than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kingstonian will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Brightlingsea will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kingstonian: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kingstonian won 4.

Kingstonian is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Brightlingsea has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kingstonian will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kingstonian won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Kingstonian won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kingstonian
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Kingstonian - Wingate & Finchley	2:3 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
02.10.22	Kingstonian - Potters Bar Town	1:3 ✺
24.09.22	Bowers & Pitsea - Kingstonian	2:2 ✺
21.09.22	Kingstonian - Bognor Regis Town	2:2 ✺
13.09.22	Hastings United - Kingstonian	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLTTL
- Brightlingsea Regent
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Haringey Borough - Brightlingsea Regent	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.22	Needham Market - Brightlingsea Regent	2:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
24.09.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Haringey Borough	1:1 ✺
20.09.22	Potters Bar Town - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1 ✺
13.09.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Enfield Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
08.01.22	Brightlingsea Regent - Kingstonian	2:4
11.09.21	Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1
08.02.20	Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent	2:1
02.11.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Kingstonian	0:2
23.02.19	Brightlingsea Regent - Kingstonian	2:0
11.08.18	Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent	2:3
20.01.18	Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent	0:1

Kingstonian - Brightlingsea Regent