The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kinondoni MC 12.8%
Draw 20.9%
Pamba 66.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.2%
31.7%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
29.5%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kinondoni MC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kinondoni MC's form might have worsened.
Pamba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pamba's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kinondoni MC than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kinondoni MC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (-26.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pamba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
18. Bomboma I. (G) 13. Anyimike B. 11. Chambo R. 36. Chibada O. 25. Kidawa S. 30. Mussa R. 21. Mwaituka S. 10. Saliboko D. 5. Shemvuni J. (C) 9. Uledi A. 55. Zuberi M.
16. Kamara M. (G) 30. Hamis Z. 18. Kadikilo A. 36. Kibailo H. 15. Kunambi K. 2. Mangalo A. 23. Mwashinga J. 17. Nakibinge J. 6. Samamba M. (C) 9. Tegisi M. 14. Yonta Camara A.
Substitutes
. Ally K. . Athuman H. (G) . Gambo I. . Hussein . Kayombo E. . Kundo F. . Mashaka Ramadhani A. . Masoud H. . Omar A. . Oreko
. Abraham I. . Amosi Y. (G) . Chambela K. . Cosmass A. . Kasindi P. . Lukinda E. . Lutonja H. . Lwasa P. . Mussa N. . Nahimana S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Lukinda E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Shemvuni J. ↓, Gambo I. ↑,
56', 0 - 1, Tegisi M. ⚽,
71', Kadikilo A. ↓, Abraham I. ↑,
71', Lukinda E. ↓, Nahimana S. ↑,
72', Chambo R. ↓, Kayombo E. ↑,
72', Mussa R. ↓, Omar A. ↑,
74', Kidawa S. 🟨,
77', Nakibinge J. ↓, Mussa N. ↑,
77', Yonta Camara A. ↓, Lwasa P. ↑,
86', Hamis Z. ↓, Kasindi P. ↑,
86', Kidawa S. ↓, Ally H. ↑,
88', Samamba M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
Kinondoni is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Pamba has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Pamba has had a series of away games.
Pamba could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kinondoni won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Kinondoni won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.