The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Azam 68.3%
Draw 22.4%
Pamba 9.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.2%
22.5%
11.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.4%
21.5%
10.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Azam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
Pamba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azam than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamba than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Azam - Pamba Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
28. Manula A. (G) 10. Abah A. 20. Chilambo N. 3. Diaby Y. 30. Kitambala J. 23. Mkami H. 12. Msindo P. 11. Nado I. 6. Salum F. 25. Twalib M. 21. Zayd Y.
16. Kamara M. (G) 3. Abraham I. 5. Eshihanda B. 15. Kunambi K. 2. Mangalo A. 23. Mwashinga J. 24. Naftal K. 17. Nakibinge J. 20. Oyugi Siwa S. 9. Tegisi M. 14. Yonta Camara A.
Substitutes
60. Alobogast C. 22. Ben Zitoun T. 26. Bitegeko A. 32. Foba Z. (G) 8. Kanoute S. 5. Mwaikenda L. 15. Mzee M. 19. Ngita J. 43. Salum A. 4. Zouzou A.
6. George M. 30. Hamis Z. 18. Kadikilo A. 36. Kibailo H. 19. Lwasa P. 54. Msabila H. 11. Mussa N. 10. Nahimana S. 37. Richard D. (G) 68. Ruta C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', Nakibinge J. 🟨,
56', Eshihanda B. 🟨,
58', Kunambi K. 🟨,
67', Nado I. 🟨,
69', Zayd Y. ↓, Mzee M. ↑,
69', Abah A. ↓, Ngita J. ↑,
76', Naftal K. 🟨,
77', Kunambi K. ↓, Kibailo H. ↑,
77', Nakibinge J. ↓, George M. ↑,
84', Yonta Camara A. ↓, Lwasa P. ↑,
85', George M. 🟨,
90', 1 - 0, Salum F. ⚽, Nado I. (A),
90+4', 2 - 0, Kitambala J. ⚽, Mzee M. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 8).
Azam is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Pamba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
In this match, Azam is the undisputed favorite.
We predict that Azam will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Azam won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
Including home match between the teams, Azam won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.