Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 21

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	Kiruna		Älgarna-Härnösand

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.1	3.8
	1.68	4.33	3.75
	1.65	3.97	3.78
	1.66	4.2	3.92
	1.68	4.33	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.41)	4.19 ↓ (4.6)	3.8 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiruna
54.5%

Draw
21.6%

Älgarna-Härnösand
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

19.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

18%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiruna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kiruna's form might have worsened.

Älgarna-Härnösand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Älgarna-Härnösand's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiruna than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kiruna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Älgarna-Härnösand than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Älgarna-Härnösand, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kiruna - Älgarna Härnösand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Abayomi T. ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, Hereka M. ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, Andrews C. ⚽,
37', 3 - 1, Halldahl W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Division 2 ~ Norrland (Relegation) and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Kiruna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Älgarna-Härnösand is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Älgarna-Härnösand could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kiruna is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiruna won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiruna won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiruna FF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
07.09.24	Team TG - Kiruna	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Kiruna - Boden	1:6 ✺
24.08.24	Skellefteå FF - Kiruna	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Kiruna - Täfteå	1:0 ✺
11.08.24	Kiruna - Frösö	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 38.3 TLWWL
- Älgarna-Härnösand IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
08.09.24	Umeå - Älgarna-Härnösand	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Täfteå	3:4 ✺
24.08.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Frösö	6:2 ✺
17.08.24	Bergnäsets - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - IFK Östersunds	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
13.04.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Kiruna	1:3
23.09.23	Kiruna - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:0
03.06.23	Älgarna-Härnösand - Kiruna	0:1
01.10.22	Älgarna-Härnösand - Kiruna	2:1
18.06.22	Kiruna - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:2

Kiruna - Älgarna-Härnösand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide