Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norrland - Round 20

Date: 8 September 2024, Sunday


	Umeå		Älgarna-Härnösand

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.2	3.9
	1.57	4.33	4.5
	1.56	4.51	4.18
	1.56	4.66	4.27	Watch
	1.53	4.33	4
	1.55	4.55	4.33
	1.57	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)	4.42 ↓ (4.5)	4.24 ↓ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Umeå
58.1%

Draw
20.5%

Älgarna-Härnösand
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

20.3%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

19.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Umeå has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Älgarna-Härnösand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umeå than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Älgarna-Härnösand than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Umeå - Älgarna Härnösand Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Umeå will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Älgarna-Härnösand will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 🟥,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Umeå is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Älgarna-Härnösand is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Umeå could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Umeå is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Umeå won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Umeå won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Umeå FC
Swedish Division 1 Norra
07.09.24	Umeå - Sollentuna	3:1 ✺
01.09.24	Stocksund - Umeå	1:1 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
31.08.24	Skellefteå FF - Umeå	3:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
24.08.24	Umeå - Piteå	3:0 ✺
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
24.08.24	Umeå - Bergnäsets	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTLWW
- Älgarna-Härnösand IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
31.08.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Täfteå	3:4 ✺
24.08.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Frösö	6:2 ✺
17.08.24	Bergnäsets - Älgarna-Härnösand	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - IFK Östersunds	1:3 ✺
03.08.24	Ytterhogdal - Älgarna-Härnösand	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
04.05.24	Älgarna-Härnösand - Umeå	3:3
22.06.22	Älgarna-Härnösand - Umeå	2:1
09.04.22	Umeå - Älgarna-Härnösand	0:2

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